Incumbent Rep. Delia Ramirez (D) advanced decisively from the March 17 Democratic primary in solidly Democratic IL-03, a northwest Chicago district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, reflecting overwhelming past Democratic margins over 30 points among its Latino-majority and urban-suburban voters. Her renomination amid minimal primary competition reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold, bolstered by incumbency advantages and no high-profile Republican challenger gaining traction post-primary. With the November 3 general election months away, odds exceed 90% due to the district's entrenched blue lean and historical base rates for safe seats. Realistic challenges would require a major Ramirez scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue terrain.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$21,130 Vol.
$21,130 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$21,130 Vol.
$21,130 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$7,388 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$13,742 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Delia Ramirez (D) advanced decisively from the March 17 Democratic primary in solidly Democratic IL-03, a northwest Chicago district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, reflecting overwhelming past Democratic margins over 30 points among its Latino-majority and urban-suburban voters. Her renomination amid minimal primary competition reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold, bolstered by incumbency advantages and no high-profile Republican challenger gaining traction post-primary. With the November 3 general election months away, odds exceed 90% due to the district's entrenched blue lean and historical base rates for safe seats. Realistic challenges would require a major Ramirez scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$21,130Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Delia Ramirez (D) advanced decisively from the March 17 Democratic primary in solidly Democratic IL-03, a northwest Chicago district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, reflecting overwhelming past Democratic margins over 30 points among its Latino-majority and urban-suburban voters. Her renomination amid minimal primary competition reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold, bolstered by incumbency advantages and no high-profile Republican challenger gaining traction post-primary. With the November 3 general election months away, odds exceed 90% due to the district's entrenched blue lean and historical base rates for safe seats. Realistic challenges would require a major Ramirez scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,130Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Delia Ramirez (D) advanced decisively from the March 17 Democratic primary in solidly Democratic IL-03, a northwest Chicago district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, reflecting overwhelming past Democratic margins over 30 points among its Latino-majority and urban-suburban voters. Her renomination amid minimal primary competition reinforces trader consensus on a Democratic hold, bolstered by incumbency advantages and no high-profile Republican challenger gaining traction post-primary. With the November 3 general election months away, odds exceed 90% due to the district's entrenched blue lean and historical base rates for safe seats. Realistic challenges would require a major Ramirez scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue terrain.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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