Florida's Republican structural advantages in statewide contests continue to anchor trader consensus on a GOP victory in the 2026 governor race at 78.5% implied probability. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open seat features a Republican primary led by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who holds a commanding lead in recent surveys from Emerson, Stetson, and Fabrizio amid endorsements and early organizational strength. General election matchups show the likely nominee ahead by 4 to 7 points against top Democrats such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, consistent with the party's registration edge exceeding 1.4 million voters and historical trends since 1994. The August 18 primary and November 3 general election timelines keep attention on voter turnout and undecided blocs that could still influence the final margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$18,247 Vol.
$18,247 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
79%
Democratico
20%
$18,247 Vol.
$18,247 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$7,201 Vol.
79%
Democratico
$11,045 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican structural advantages in statewide contests continue to anchor trader consensus on a GOP victory in the 2026 governor race at 78.5% implied probability. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open seat features a Republican primary led by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who holds a commanding lead in recent surveys from Emerson, Stetson, and Fabrizio amid endorsements and early organizational strength. General election matchups show the likely nominee ahead by 4 to 7 points against top Democrats such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, consistent with the party's registration edge exceeding 1.4 million voters and historical trends since 1994. The August 18 primary and November 3 general election timelines keep attention on voter turnout and undecided blocs that could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$18,247Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican structural advantages in statewide contests continue to anchor trader consensus on a GOP victory in the 2026 governor race at 78.5% implied probability. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open seat features a Republican primary led by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who holds a commanding lead in recent surveys from Emerson, Stetson, and Fabrizio amid endorsements and early organizational strength. General election matchups show the likely nominee ahead by 4 to 7 points against top Democrats such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, consistent with the party's registration edge exceeding 1.4 million voters and historical trends since 1994. The August 18 primary and November 3 general election timelines keep attention on voter turnout and undecided blocs that could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,247Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican structural advantages in statewide contests continue to anchor trader consensus on a GOP victory in the 2026 governor race at 78.5% implied probability. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the open seat features a Republican primary led by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who holds a commanding lead in recent surveys from Emerson, Stetson, and Fabrizio amid endorsements and early organizational strength. General election matchups show the likely nominee ahead by 4 to 7 points against top Democrats such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings, consistent with the party's registration edge exceeding 1.4 million voters and historical trends since 1994. The August 18 primary and November 3 general election timelines keep attention on voter turnout and undecided blocs that could still influence the final margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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