Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The district carries a D+11 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, and Crow secured 59 percent of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary scheduled for June 30 and no significant primary challenge emerging, the seat's structural lean and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition continue to anchor expectations. Limited Republican primary activity around nominee Mel Tewahade has not altered the outlook. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected primary upset, a major national political realignment affecting suburban turnout, or a late withdrawal by Crow that opens a different nomination process.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCO-06 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$24,361 Vol.
$24,361 Vol.
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$24,361 Vol.
$24,361 Vol.
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The district carries a D+11 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, and Crow secured 59 percent of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary scheduled for June 30 and no significant primary challenge emerging, the seat's structural lean and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition continue to anchor expectations. Limited Republican primary activity around nominee Mel Tewahade has not altered the outlook. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected primary upset, a major national political realignment affecting suburban turnout, or a late withdrawal by Crow that opens a different nomination process.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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