Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91% implied probability to the Federal Reserve maintaining its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% across the April 28-29 and June 16-17 FOMC meetings, following the March pause, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 10.9% energy spike, while nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000, exceeding softer prior months. The March dot plot still signals one 25-basis-point cut by year-end 2026, but traders price in no near-term easing amid sticky core inflation above 2%. Upcoming April jobs data and CPI release could challenge this if markedly weaker, prompting earlier cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 91%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 7%
अन्य 1.7%
रोक–कटौती–रोक 1.1%
$907,783 वॉल्यूम
$907,783 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
91%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
7%
अन्य
2%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
1%
विराम–विराम–विराम 91%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 7%
अन्य 1.7%
रोक–कटौती–रोक 1.1%
$907,783 वॉल्यूम
$907,783 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
$32,968 वॉल्यूम
91%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$15,303 वॉल्यूम
7%
अन्य
$216,634 वॉल्यूम
2%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
$132,599 वॉल्यूम
1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
$510,280 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91% implied probability to the Federal Reserve maintaining its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% across the April 28-29 and June 16-17 FOMC meetings, following the March pause, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 10.9% energy spike, while nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000, exceeding softer prior months. The March dot plot still signals one 25-basis-point cut by year-end 2026, but traders price in no near-term easing amid sticky core inflation above 2%. Upcoming April jobs data and CPI release could challenge this if markedly weaker, prompting earlier cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$907,783समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91% implied probability to the Federal Reserve maintaining its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% across the April 28-29 and June 16-17 FOMC meetings, following the March pause, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 10.9% energy spike, while nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000, exceeding softer prior months. The March dot plot still signals one 25-basis-point cut by year-end 2026, but traders price in no near-term easing amid sticky core inflation above 2%. Upcoming April jobs data and CPI release could challenge this if markedly weaker, prompting earlier cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$907,783समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91% implied probability to the Federal Reserve maintaining its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% across the April 28-29 and June 16-17 FOMC meetings, following the March pause, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 10.9% energy spike, while nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000, exceeding softer prior months. The March dot plot still signals one 25-basis-point cut by year-end 2026, but traders price in no near-term easing amid sticky core inflation above 2%. Upcoming April jobs data and CPI release could challenge this if markedly weaker, prompting earlier cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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