The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Federal Open Market Committee's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%—a unanimous consensus among traders reflected in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for no change—stems from elevated inflation pressures, with March 2026 CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year amid a 10.9% energy surge driven by Middle East tensions, offsetting modest labor market softening evidenced by 4.3% unemployment and low jobless claims near 219,000. Solid economic expansion further supported holding steady, despite internal dissent including one vote for a 25 bps cut and three opposing an easing bias. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC meeting could signal shifts if data deviates sharply.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The Federal Open Market Committee's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%—a unanimous consensus among traders reflected in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for no change—stems from elevated inflation pressures, with March 2026 CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year amid a 10.9% energy surge driven by Middle East tensions, offsetting modest labor market softening evidenced by 4.3% unemployment and low jobless claims near 219,000. Solid economic expansion further supported holding steady, despite internal dissent including one vote for a 25 bps cut and three opposing an easing bias. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC meeting could signal shifts if data deviates sharply.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Apr 28 2026
Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled; market fully
The final event is the FOMC meeting itself, where the market expects the Fed to hold rates steady, resolving the market question.
Apr 22 2026
JPMorgan Global Research and other analysts forecast the Fed will remain on hold at the April 28-29 meeting amid inflation risks and labor market strength
No change rises to 100%1%
Analyst consensus and market positioning ahead of the April meeting solidified the expectation of no rate change.
Mar 18 2026
Fed holds rates steady, projects higher inflation and rules out hikes through year‑end – In the March 2026 statement the Fed kept the policy range unchanged and “no policymakers
25+ bps increase dips to 0%3%
Fed holds rates steady, projects higher inflation and rules out hikes through year‑end – In the March 2026 statement the Fed kept the policy range unchanged and “no policymakers saw rates needing to move higher by the end of this year,” effectively eliminating the 25‑bp hike scenario. This pushed the outcome’s
Mar 18 2026
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in March meeting, projecting higher inflation and steady unemployment, signaling a single rate cut later in the year but not imminently
No change jumps to 96%10%
The March FOMC statement confirmed a hold, significantly boosting the "No change" outcome.
Mar 12 2026
Fed officials emphasize data dependency and caution amid resilient economic activity and inflation near target, leading markets to further lower expectations for a 50+ bps cut in
50+ bps decrease dips to 0%2%
Fed officials emphasize data dependency and caution amid resilient economic activity and inflation near target, leading markets to further lower expectations for a 50+ bps cut in April
Feb 14 2026
Market expectations for a December rate cut diminish further as Fed officials express doubts, and economic data shows steady but cautious growth
No change jumps to 86%11%
The fading probability of cuts and steady economic indicators pushed the "No change"
Jan 16 2026
January CPI data reveals softer core inflation and mixed economic signals;
50+ bps decrease dips to 2%1%
Fed expected to pause rate cuts due to tariff-related inflation pressures and modest labor market improvements, reducing odds of large cuts
Jan 14 2026
Fed officials, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins, advocate holding rates steady due to persistent inflation, reinforcing expectations of no change in upcoming meetings
No change jumps to 69%6%
Public remarks from Fed officials supporting a pause strengthened market conviction for no rate change.
Dec 11 2025
Fed signals pause on rate cuts after three consecutive reductions, emphasizing the need for clearer economic data and highlighting internal policy divisions
No change jumps to 61%14%
The Fed's communication about pausing cuts amid data gaps and leadership changes increased confidence in a hold scenario.
Dec 10 2025
Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 basis points but signals a likely pause on further cuts as inflation remains elevated and economic data is unclear
No change plunges to 47%17%
Despite the cut, the Fed's cautious tone and data uncertainty led to a temporary drop in the "No change"
Dec 10 2025
Fed cuts rates to 3.5‑3.75% and signals pause on further easing – The FOMC’s December meeting lowered the target range by 25 bps and, per Reuters, “signaled it would likely pause
25+ bps increase drops to 6%10%
Fed cuts rates to 3.5‑3.75% and signals pause on further easing – The FOMC’s December meeting lowered the target range by 25 bps and, per Reuters, “signaled it would likely pause further reductions”. The cut removed the need for a near‑term hike, driving the
Nov 21 2025
New York Fed President John Williams signals potential for near-term rate cut, raising market expectations for December easing amid slightly cooler inflation data and resilient
50+ bps decrease drops to 8%9%
New York Fed President John Williams signals potential for near-term rate cut, raising market expectations for December easing amid slightly cooler inflation data and resilient consumer spending
Nov 20 2025
FOMC minutes reveal a divided committee with a growing consensus to keep rates steady at 3.75%-4.00%, frustrating White House calls for deeper cuts
No change jumps to 64%6%
The minutes indicated a shift toward holding rates steady, boosting the "No change" outcome probability.
Nov 18 2025
Fed officials remain divided on December rate decision amid inflation concerns and data disruptions, with some governors pushing for cuts and others advocating caution
No change dips to 58%3%
The division within the Fed created uncertainty, causing a dip in the "No change"
Nov 13 2025
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the third consecutive time, reducing the benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%, but signals uncertainty about further cuts amid sticky inflation and divided Fed views
No change rises to 61%3%
This event marked the start of market reassessment of the likelihood of further cuts, tempering earlier high expectations for a December cut.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Federal Open Market Committee's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%—a unanimous consensus among traders reflected in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for no change—stems from elevated inflation pressures, with March 2026 CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year amid a 10.9% energy surge driven by Middle East tensions, offsetting modest labor market softening evidenced by 4.3% unemployment and low jobless claims near 219,000. Solid economic expansion further supported holding steady, despite internal dissent including one vote for a 25 bps cut and three opposing an easing bias. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC meeting could signal shifts if data deviates sharply.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The Federal Open Market Committee's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%—a unanimous consensus among traders reflected in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for no change—stems from elevated inflation pressures, with March 2026 CPI rising 3.3% year-over-year amid a 10.9% energy surge driven by Middle East tensions, offsetting modest labor market softening evidenced by 4.3% unemployment and low jobless claims near 219,000. Solid economic expansion further supported holding steady, despite internal dissent including one vote for a 25 bps cut and three opposing an easing bias. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC meeting could signal shifts if data deviates sharply.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Apr 28 2026
Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled; market fully
The final event is the FOMC meeting itself, where the market expects the Fed to hold rates steady, resolving the market question.
Apr 22 2026
JPMorgan Global Research and other analysts forecast the Fed will remain on hold at the April 28-29 meeting amid inflation risks and labor market strength
No change rises to 100%1%
Analyst consensus and market positioning ahead of the April meeting solidified the expectation of no rate change.
Mar 18 2026
Fed holds rates steady, projects higher inflation and rules out hikes through year‑end – In the March 2026 statement the Fed kept the policy range unchanged and “no policymakers
25+ bps increase dips to 0%3%
Fed holds rates steady, projects higher inflation and rules out hikes through year‑end – In the March 2026 statement the Fed kept the policy range unchanged and “no policymakers saw rates needing to move higher by the end of this year,” effectively eliminating the 25‑bp hike scenario. This pushed the outcome’s
Mar 18 2026
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in March meeting, projecting higher inflation and steady unemployment, signaling a single rate cut later in the year but not imminently
No change jumps to 96%10%
The March FOMC statement confirmed a hold, significantly boosting the "No change" outcome.
Mar 12 2026
Fed officials emphasize data dependency and caution amid resilient economic activity and inflation near target, leading markets to further lower expectations for a 50+ bps cut in
50+ bps decrease dips to 0%2%
Fed officials emphasize data dependency and caution amid resilient economic activity and inflation near target, leading markets to further lower expectations for a 50+ bps cut in April
Feb 14 2026
Market expectations for a December rate cut diminish further as Fed officials express doubts, and economic data shows steady but cautious growth
No change jumps to 86%11%
The fading probability of cuts and steady economic indicators pushed the "No change"
Jan 16 2026
January CPI data reveals softer core inflation and mixed economic signals;
50+ bps decrease dips to 2%1%
Fed expected to pause rate cuts due to tariff-related inflation pressures and modest labor market improvements, reducing odds of large cuts
Jan 14 2026
Fed officials, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins, advocate holding rates steady due to persistent inflation, reinforcing expectations of no change in upcoming meetings
No change jumps to 69%6%
Public remarks from Fed officials supporting a pause strengthened market conviction for no rate change.
Dec 11 2025
Fed signals pause on rate cuts after three consecutive reductions, emphasizing the need for clearer economic data and highlighting internal policy divisions
No change jumps to 61%14%
The Fed's communication about pausing cuts amid data gaps and leadership changes increased confidence in a hold scenario.
Dec 10 2025
Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 basis points but signals a likely pause on further cuts as inflation remains elevated and economic data is unclear
No change plunges to 47%17%
Despite the cut, the Fed's cautious tone and data uncertainty led to a temporary drop in the "No change"
Dec 10 2025
Fed cuts rates to 3.5‑3.75% and signals pause on further easing – The FOMC’s December meeting lowered the target range by 25 bps and, per Reuters, “signaled it would likely pause
25+ bps increase drops to 6%10%
Fed cuts rates to 3.5‑3.75% and signals pause on further easing – The FOMC’s December meeting lowered the target range by 25 bps and, per Reuters, “signaled it would likely pause further reductions”. The cut removed the need for a near‑term hike, driving the
Nov 21 2025
New York Fed President John Williams signals potential for near-term rate cut, raising market expectations for December easing amid slightly cooler inflation data and resilient
50+ bps decrease drops to 8%9%
New York Fed President John Williams signals potential for near-term rate cut, raising market expectations for December easing amid slightly cooler inflation data and resilient consumer spending
Nov 20 2025
FOMC minutes reveal a divided committee with a growing consensus to keep rates steady at 3.75%-4.00%, frustrating White House calls for deeper cuts
No change jumps to 64%6%
The minutes indicated a shift toward holding rates steady, boosting the "No change" outcome probability.
Nov 18 2025
Fed officials remain divided on December rate decision amid inflation concerns and data disruptions, with some governors pushing for cuts and others advocating caution
No change dips to 58%3%
The division within the Fed created uncertainty, causing a dip in the "No change"
Nov 13 2025
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the third consecutive time, reducing the benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%, but signals uncertainty about further cuts amid sticky inflation and divided Fed views
No change rises to 61%3%
This event marked the start of market reassessment of the likelihood of further cuts, tempering earlier high expectations for a December cut.
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न
"अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, कोई बदलाव नहीं 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती 0% पर है।
आज तक, "अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" ने कुल $284.2 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 13, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 4 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "कोई बदलाव नहीं" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" पर $284.2 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?" बाज़ार में "कोई बदलाव नहीं" के लिए 100¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "कोई बदलाव नहीं" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 100% संभावना है। अगर आप 100¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 0¢ का लाभ।
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