Market icon

Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$234,989 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no active fires (<100% contained) over 10 acres in Los Angeles county in California at any point between January 8, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$234,989
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2025
Créé le
Jan 9, 2025, 11:19 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no active fires (<100% contained) over 10 acres in Los Angeles county in California at any point between January 8, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" has generated $235K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$234,989 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no active fires (<100% contained) over 10 acres in Los Angeles county in California at any point between January 8, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$234,989
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2025
Créé le
Jan 9, 2025, 11:19 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no active fires (<100% contained) over 10 acres in Los Angeles county in California at any point between January 8, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" has generated $235K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.