The Kurdistan Regional Government continues to prioritize its established federal autonomy and revenue-sharing arrangements with Baghdad over any unilateral secession move, following the 2017 referendum's reversal that resulted in territorial losses and reinforced Iraqi constitutional barriers to separation. Neighboring states including Turkey and Iran maintain firm opposition to Kurdish statehood, while recent KRG leadership engagements in Baghdad have emphasized judicial cooperation, security coordination, and stability within Iraq rather than independence talks. No official announcements, legislative actions, or polling shifts in the past year have signaled preparations for a formal declaration by the end of 2026, leaving traders to price in these entrenched structural and diplomatic constraints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe GRK déclare son indépendance de l'Irak d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Le GRK déclare son indépendance de l'Irak d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Oui
$53,021 Vol.
$53,021 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$53,021 Vol.
$53,021 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Kurdistan Regional Government continues to prioritize its established federal autonomy and revenue-sharing arrangements with Baghdad over any unilateral secession move, following the 2017 referendum's reversal that resulted in territorial losses and reinforced Iraqi constitutional barriers to separation. Neighboring states including Turkey and Iran maintain firm opposition to Kurdish statehood, while recent KRG leadership engagements in Baghdad have emphasized judicial cooperation, security coordination, and stability within Iraq rather than independence talks. No official announcements, legislative actions, or polling shifts in the past year have signaled preparations for a formal declaration by the end of 2026, leaving traders to price in these entrenched structural and diplomatic constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$53,021Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Kurdistan Regional Government continues to prioritize its established federal autonomy and revenue-sharing arrangements with Baghdad over any unilateral secession move, following the 2017 referendum's reversal that resulted in territorial losses and reinforced Iraqi constitutional barriers to separation. Neighboring states including Turkey and Iran maintain firm opposition to Kurdish statehood, while recent KRG leadership engagements in Baghdad have emphasized judicial cooperation, security coordination, and stability within Iraq rather than independence talks. No official announcements, legislative actions, or polling shifts in the past year have signaled preparations for a formal declaration by the end of 2026, leaving traders to price in these entrenched structural and diplomatic constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$53,021Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Kurdistan Regional Government continues to prioritize its established federal autonomy and revenue-sharing arrangements with Baghdad over any unilateral secession move, following the 2017 referendum's reversal that resulted in territorial losses and reinforced Iraqi constitutional barriers to separation. Neighboring states including Turkey and Iran maintain firm opposition to Kurdish statehood, while recent KRG leadership engagements in Baghdad have emphasized judicial cooperation, security coordination, and stability within Iraq rather than independence talks. No official announcements, legislative actions, or polling shifts in the past year have signaled preparations for a formal declaration by the end of 2026, leaving traders to price in these entrenched structural and diplomatic constraints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes