Vice President JD Vance has led or participated directly in high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations since early 2026, including marathon talks in Islamabad in April aimed at extending a fragile ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program. Recent statements from Vance in late May and early June describe the sides as "very close" to a memorandum of understanding, with ongoing back-and-forth on enrichment limits and other terms, though no final agreement has been reached. These diplomatic efforts, alongside reported U.S. enforcement actions and Iranian responses, shape trader views on whether Vance will hold additional meetings by key resolution dates such as June 30. Midterm election timelines and potential escalation risks remain key variables that could accelerate or delay further direct engagement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$229,163 Vol.
30 juin 2026
June 30
45%
$229,163 Vol.
June 30
$72,205 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has led or participated directly in high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations since early 2026, including marathon talks in Islamabad in April aimed at extending a fragile ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program. Recent statements from Vance in late May and early June describe the sides as "very close" to a memorandum of understanding, with ongoing back-and-forth on enrichment limits and other terms, though no final agreement has been reached. These diplomatic efforts, alongside reported U.S. enforcement actions and Iranian responses, shape trader views on whether Vance will hold additional meetings by key resolution dates such as June 30. Midterm election timelines and potential escalation risks remain key variables that could accelerate or delay further direct engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$229,163Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has led or participated directly in high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations since early 2026, including marathon talks in Islamabad in April aimed at extending a fragile ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program. Recent statements from Vance in late May and early June describe the sides as "very close" to a memorandum of understanding, with ongoing back-and-forth on enrichment limits and other terms, though no final agreement has been reached. These diplomatic efforts, alongside reported U.S. enforcement actions and Iranian responses, shape trader views on whether Vance will hold additional meetings by key resolution dates such as June 30. Midterm election timelines and potential escalation risks remain key variables that could accelerate or delay further direct engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$229,163Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has led or participated directly in high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations since early 2026, including marathon talks in Islamabad in April aimed at extending a fragile ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear program. Recent statements from Vance in late May and early June describe the sides as "very close" to a memorandum of understanding, with ongoing back-and-forth on enrichment limits and other terms, though no final agreement has been reached. These diplomatic efforts, alongside reported U.S. enforcement actions and Iranian responses, shape trader views on whether Vance will hold additional meetings by key resolution dates such as June 30. Midterm election timelines and potential escalation risks remain key variables that could accelerate or delay further direct engagement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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