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Tech·IPOS

IPO OpenAI par... ?

Market icon
Tech·IPOS

IPO OpenAI par... ?

$1,129,122 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$1,129,122 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

30 juin 2026

$223,775 Vol.

5%

Market icon

31 décembre 2026

$409,819 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026—the largest private raise ever—valued the artificial intelligence leader at $852 billion post-money, fueling trader consensus for a potential late-2026 initial public offering while tempering near-term expectations. Wall Street Journal reporting from January highlighted groundwork including informal bank talks and hiring former DocuSign CFO Cynthia Gaylor for investor relations, positioning OpenAI to race ahead of rival Anthropic amid intensifying AI lab competition. However, recent executive reshuffles—COO transition, CMO medical leave, and AGI lead hiatus—introduce operational risks typical of high-stakes tech transitions. Polymarket traders price a 38% implied probability for an IPO by December 31, 2026, with key catalysts like an S-1 filing eyed for H2 amid regulatory scrutiny on AI capabilities and ethics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,129,122
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026—the largest private raise ever—valued the artificial intelligence leader at $852 billion post-money, fueling trader consensus for a potential late-2026 initial public offering while tempering near-term expectations. Wall Street Journal reporting from January highlighted groundwork including informal bank talks and hiring former DocuSign CFO Cynthia Gaylor for investor relations, positioning OpenAI to race ahead of rival Anthropic amid intensifying AI lab competition. However, recent executive reshuffles—COO transition, CMO medical leave, and AGI lead hiatus—introduce operational risks typical of high-stakes tech transitions. Polymarket traders price a 38% implied probability for an IPO by December 31, 2026, with key catalysts like an S-1 filing eyed for H2 amid regulatory scrutiny on AI capabilities and ethics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,129,122
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« IPO OpenAI par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 36%, suivi de « 30 juin 2026 » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « IPO OpenAI par... ? » a généré $1.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 30, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « IPO OpenAI par... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « IPO OpenAI par... ? » est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 juin 2026 » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « IPO OpenAI par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.