Trader consensus heavily favors Iran remaining in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, with "No" at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official FIFA sanctions, suspensions, or disciplinary probes against the team as of late March. Iran's national squad sits atop AFC Group A after strong recent form, including a 4-2 win over the UAE and a 3-1 victory against Qatar, showcasing robust attacking depth led by players like Mehdi Taremi without key injuries reported on official rosters. No matchup dynamics or rule violations have surfaced to justify expulsion, aligning odds with historical precedent where geopolitical rumors rarely lead to outright bans in ongoing competitions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$149,148 Vol.
$149,148 Vol.
Oui
$149,148 Vol.
$149,148 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Iran remaining in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, with "No" at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official FIFA sanctions, suspensions, or disciplinary probes against the team as of late March. Iran's national squad sits atop AFC Group A after strong recent form, including a 4-2 win over the UAE and a 3-1 victory against Qatar, showcasing robust attacking depth led by players like Mehdi Taremi without key injuries reported on official rosters. No matchup dynamics or rule violations have surfaced to justify expulsion, aligning odds with historical precedent where geopolitical rumors rarely lead to outright bans in ongoing competitions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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