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Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ?

Market icon

Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ?

$932,117 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$932,117 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$874,831 Vol.

27%

15 avril

$57,290 Vol.

61%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026, targeting southern sites in solidarity with Iran amid the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Tehran, though Israeli defenses intercepted the projectile with no reported impacts. This escalation follows Houthi vows to resume strikes on Israel and Red Sea shipping after US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran began on February 28, marking the group's direct entry into the multi-front proxy conflict. Traders monitor Houthi threats of further missile and drone barrages, potential Israeli retaliatory strikes on Yemen, and diplomatic signals from Iran or US mediators that could de-escalate or broaden the fighting.

Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026, targeting southern sites in solidarity with Iran amid the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Tehran, though Israeli defenses intercepted the projectile with no reported impacts. This escalation follows Houthi vows to resume strikes on Israel and Red Sea shipping after US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran began on February 28, marking the group's direct entry into the multi-front proxy conflict. Traders monitor Houthi threats of further missile and drone barrages, potential Israeli retaliatory strikes on Yemen, and diplomatic signals from Iran or US mediators that could de-escalate or broaden the fighting.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026, targeting southern sites in solidarity with Iran amid the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Tehran, though Israeli defenses intercepted the projectile with no reported impacts. This escalation follows Houthi vows to resume strikes on Israel and Red Sea shipping after US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran began on February 28, marking the group's direct entry into the multi-front proxy conflict. Traders monitor Houthi threats of further missile and drone barrages, potential Israeli retaliatory strikes on Yemen, and diplomatic signals from Iran or US mediators that could de-escalate or broaden the fighting.

Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026, targeting southern sites in solidarity with Iran amid the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Tehran, though Israeli defenses intercepted the projectile with no reported impacts. This escalation follows Houthi vows to resume strikes on Israel and Red Sea shipping after US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran began on February 28, marking the group's direct entry into the multi-front proxy conflict. Traders monitor Houthi threats of further missile and drone barrages, potential Israeli retaliatory strikes on Yemen, and diplomatic signals from Iran or US mediators that could de-escalate or broaden the fighting.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 15 avril » à 61%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 61¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ? » a généré $932.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ? » est « 15 avril » à 61%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Frappe des Houthis sur Israël par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.