Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source for this market—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 14°C as of late afternoon on April 1, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy conditions that have capped solar heating despite light winds. Hourly readings peaked at 14.2°C around midday, aligning with trader consensus at over 99% implied probability for 14°C, as a cooler air mass and overcast skies diverged from earlier forecasts of up to 17°C. Early April climatology in the Seoul region typically sees highs of 14–18°C, but cloud cover has suppressed boundary layer warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset (around 6:45 PM KST), potentially allowing a brief 0.5–1°C rise, though diminishing insolation makes 15°C or higher unlikely; final KMA daily observations will confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$380,501 Vol.
$380,501 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$380,501 Vol.
$380,501 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source for this market—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 14°C as of late afternoon on April 1, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy conditions that have capped solar heating despite light winds. Hourly readings peaked at 14.2°C around midday, aligning with trader consensus at over 99% implied probability for 14°C, as a cooler air mass and overcast skies diverged from earlier forecasts of up to 17°C. Early April climatology in the Seoul region typically sees highs of 14–18°C, but cloud cover has suppressed boundary layer warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset (around 6:45 PM KST), potentially allowing a brief 0.5–1°C rise, though diminishing insolation makes 15°C or higher unlikely; final KMA daily observations will confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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