National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 31 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 31 mars ?
74°F ou plus 100.0%
55°F ou moins <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59 °F <1%
$426,000 Vol.
$426,000 Vol.
31 mars 2026
55°F ou moins
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63 °F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Non
68-69 °F
Non
70-71 °F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74°F ou plus
Oui
74°F ou plus 100.0%
55°F ou moins <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59 °F <1%
$426,000 Vol.
$426,000 Vol.
31 mars 2026
55°F ou moins
$29,643 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$64,958 Vol.
Non
58-59 °F
$17,893 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$37,245 Vol.
Non
62-63 °F
$20,146 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$22,815 Vol.
Non
66-67 °F
$24,269 Vol.
Non
68-69 °F
$23,436 Vol.
Non
70-71 °F
$42,291 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$51,018 Vol.
Non
74°F ou plus
$92,285 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$426,000Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$426,000Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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