The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 9.0%
$96,140 Vol.
$96,140 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 9.0%
$96,140 Vol.
$96,140 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
69°F or below
$21,727 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$11,522 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$9,308 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$8,973 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$5,891 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$6,962 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$7,238 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$7,091 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$4,981 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,131 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$9,600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$96,140Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,140Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes