Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 hinges on historical frontrunners like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and France, which dominate due to proven televote strength, powerhouse songwriters, and Big 5 perks, though markets are nascent with no national selections announced. The 2025 contest in Basel this May remains the pivotal precursor, as strong performers often build momentum for return entries or national boosts. Host nation bidding kicks off post-2025, potentially elevating a newcomer via home advantage. Traders eye late-2025 national final reveals and artist announcements amid geopolitical tensions affecting participation; chart early risers from perennial contenders while noting the contest's volatility from jury-televote splits and surprise upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$23,830 Vol.

Finland
82%

Greece
60%

France
59%

Denmark
57%

Israel
55%

Australia
55%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
37%

Romania
23%

Italy
33%

Czechia
17%

Cyprus
17%

Norway
15%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
14%

Germany
13%

Georgia
13%

Croatia
12%

Montenegro
11%

Serbia
11%

Poland
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

Austria
10%

Latvia
10%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

San Marino
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Portugal
8%

Switzerland
11%

Malta
21%

Lithuania
11%

Bulgaria
14%
$23,830 Vol.

Finland
82%

Greece
60%

France
59%

Denmark
57%

Israel
55%

Australia
55%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
37%

Romania
23%

Italy
33%

Czechia
17%

Cyprus
17%

Norway
15%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
14%

Germany
13%

Georgia
13%

Croatia
12%

Montenegro
11%

Serbia
11%

Poland
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

Austria
10%

Latvia
10%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

San Marino
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Portugal
8%

Switzerland
11%

Malta
21%

Lithuania
11%

Bulgaria
14%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 hinges on historical frontrunners like Sweden, Italy, Ukraine, and France, which dominate due to proven televote strength, powerhouse songwriters, and Big 5 perks, though markets are nascent with no national selections announced. The 2025 contest in Basel this May remains the pivotal precursor, as strong performers often build momentum for return entries or national boosts. Host nation bidding kicks off post-2025, potentially elevating a newcomer via home advantage. Traders eye late-2025 national final reveals and artist announcements amid geopolitical tensions affecting participation; chart early risers from perennial contenders while noting the contest's volatility from jury-televote splits and surprise upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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