Israel's commanding 32% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market stems from its dominant public support in recent contests, including a runner-up televote finish in 2024 despite jury backlash, fueled by a passionate global diaspora and high-energy entries like Eden Golan's. Greece at 21% rides momentum from Marina Satti's 2024 fan favorite status and Balkan voting blocs, while Finland's 16% reflects lingering hype from Käärijä's 2023 televote surge and Nordic pop prowess. Lower-tier contenders like Denmark and France bank on consistent staging and streaming buzz, but with no songs announced until late 2025 national finals, the field remains fluid—traders eye pre-selection reveals and geopolitical fan dynamics as key differentiators in this speculative landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 32%
Greece 21%
Finland 16%
Denmark 7.1%
$487,264 Vol.
$487,264 Vol.

Israel
32%

Greece
21%

Finland
16%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Italy
4%

Poland
4%

Germany
3%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
2%

Belgium
1%

Switzerland
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Czechia
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Sweden
1%

Lithuania
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Norway
1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 32%
Greece 21%
Finland 16%
Denmark 7.1%
$487,264 Vol.
$487,264 Vol.

Israel
32%

Greece
21%

Finland
16%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Italy
4%

Poland
4%

Germany
3%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
2%

Belgium
1%

Switzerland
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Czechia
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Sweden
1%

Lithuania
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Norway
1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 32% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market stems from its dominant public support in recent contests, including a runner-up televote finish in 2024 despite jury backlash, fueled by a passionate global diaspora and high-energy entries like Eden Golan's. Greece at 21% rides momentum from Marina Satti's 2024 fan favorite status and Balkan voting blocs, while Finland's 16% reflects lingering hype from Käärijä's 2023 televote surge and Nordic pop prowess. Lower-tier contenders like Denmark and France bank on consistent staging and streaming buzz, but with no songs announced until late 2025 national finals, the field remains fluid—traders eye pre-selection reveals and geopolitical fan dynamics as key differentiators in this speculative landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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