WTI crude oil (CL) front-month futures surged 11.9% to $112.06 per barrel on April 3, 2026, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions, reduced Strait of Hormuz shipments, and shut-in regional production, embedding a substantial geopolitical risk premium into prices. U.S. EIA data shows recent crude inventories building +5.5 million barrels for the week ending March 27—versus expectations—now in surplus relative to five-year averages, signaling ample domestic supply amid robust refinery utilization at 16.4 million b/d. June 2026 futures trade at $97.72, implying trader consensus for prices to moderate post near-term risks. Key catalysts ahead include tomorrow's OPEC+ monitoring meeting on April 5, weekly EIA inventories April 8, and potential de-escalation or further disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Le pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$7,249,564 Vol.
↑ 200 $
11%
↑ $175
14%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
40%
↑ $130
59%
↑ $120
80%
↑ $115
90%
↓ $85
57%
↓ $80
45%
↓ $70
23%
↓ $60
10%
↓ 55 $
7%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ 50 $
4%
↓ 47 $
3%
↓ 45 $
2%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ 35 $
2%
$7,249,564 Vol.
↑ 200 $
11%
↑ $175
14%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
40%
↑ $130
59%
↑ $120
80%
↑ $115
90%
↓ $85
57%
↓ $80
45%
↓ $70
23%
↓ $60
10%
↓ 55 $
7%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ 50 $
4%
↓ 47 $
3%
↓ 45 $
2%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ 35 $
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
WTI crude oil (CL) front-month futures surged 11.9% to $112.06 per barrel on April 3, 2026, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions, reduced Strait of Hormuz shipments, and shut-in regional production, embedding a substantial geopolitical risk premium into prices. U.S. EIA data shows recent crude inventories building +5.5 million barrels for the week ending March 27—versus expectations—now in surplus relative to five-year averages, signaling ample domestic supply amid robust refinery utilization at 16.4 million b/d. June 2026 futures trade at $97.72, implying trader consensus for prices to moderate post near-term risks. Key catalysts ahead include tomorrow's OPEC+ monitoring meeting on April 5, weekly EIA inventories April 8, and potential de-escalation or further disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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