Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability for Apple as the 2nd largest company by market capitalization at April's end, reflecting its stable $2.82 trillion valuation trailing Microsoft's $3.12 trillion lead amid steady iPhone demand and services revenue growth. Alphabet's 26.5% odds surged following its April 25 earnings beat, with Google Cloud revenue up 28% year-over-year driving a 15% share rally to $2.27 trillion market cap and narrowing the gap. NVIDIA holds 8.9% on relentless AI chip demand pushing toward $2.2 trillion, while Microsoft (2.8%) and others trail due to wider valuation spreads. Earnings volatility and final trading sessions through April 30 remain key catalysts for potential shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2nd largest company end of April?
2nd largest company end of April?
Apple 62%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 8.5%
Microsoft 2.8%
$435,466 Vol.
$435,466 Vol.

Apple
62%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
9%

Microsoft
3%

Tesla
1%

Amazon
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%
Apple 62%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 8.5%
Microsoft 2.8%
$435,466 Vol.
$435,466 Vol.

Apple
62%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
9%

Microsoft
3%

Tesla
1%

Amazon
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability for Apple as the 2nd largest company by market capitalization at April's end, reflecting its stable $2.82 trillion valuation trailing Microsoft's $3.12 trillion lead amid steady iPhone demand and services revenue growth. Alphabet's 26.5% odds surged following its April 25 earnings beat, with Google Cloud revenue up 28% year-over-year driving a 15% share rally to $2.27 trillion market cap and narrowing the gap. NVIDIA holds 8.9% on relentless AI chip demand pushing toward $2.2 trillion, while Microsoft (2.8%) and others trail due to wider valuation spreads. Earnings volatility and final trading sessions through April 30 remain key catalysts for potential shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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