Trader consensus assigns a 97% implied probability to no pardon for golf legend Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the swift debunking of a late-March viral hoax falsely claiming President Trump urged Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to intervene after Woods' DUI arrest and rollover crash. Fact-checks from Snopes and others confirmed no such Truth Social post or statement, with Woods facing only state-level charges ineligible for federal presidential clemency. Their documented friendship—including a pre-arrest call—has prompted no official action amid Woods' ongoing PGA Tour preparations, leaving traders confident absent a surprise federal indictment or political gesture before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$136,475 Vol.
$136,475 Vol.
$136,475 Vol.
$136,475 Vol.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 97% implied probability to no pardon for golf legend Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the swift debunking of a late-March viral hoax falsely claiming President Trump urged Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to intervene after Woods' DUI arrest and rollover crash. Fact-checks from Snopes and others confirmed no such Truth Social post or statement, with Woods facing only state-level charges ineligible for federal presidential clemency. Their documented friendship—including a pre-arrest call—has prompted no official action amid Woods' ongoing PGA Tour preparations, leaving traders confident absent a surprise federal indictment or political gesture before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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