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Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?

Market icon

Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$344 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$344 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if TrainwrecksTV opens a Case Hardened AK-47 with Pattern Template #661 in any exterior condition (Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred) during a live stream by January 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, "Case Hardened AK-47 #661" refers to a Counter-Strike 2 AK-47 | Case Hardened skin with Pattern Template Index 661, commonly known as the "Blue Gem" pattern. The pattern index must be verifiable on-screen during the live stream as #661.

For the purpose of this market, "Stream" refers to a live video broadcast hosted by TrainwrecksTV. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

For the purpose of this market, "opens" means TrainwrecksTV must personally unbox/open the item from a case and reveal the item during the live stream. Secondary market purchases, trades, or items opened off-stream will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be TrainwrecksTV's Kick channel (https://kick.com/trainwreckstv) and/or Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/trainwreckstv); however, a consensus of credible reporting with video evidence may also be used. If evidence from multiple platforms conflicts, resolution will be based on the clearest complete video record.
Volume
$344
End Date
Jan 29, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TrainwrecksTV opens a Case Hardened AK-47 with Pattern Template #661 in any exterior condition (Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred) during a live stream by January 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "Case Hardened AK-47 #661" refers to a Counter-Strike 2 AK-47 | Case Hardened skin with Pattern Template Index 661, commonly known as the "Blue Gem" pattern. The pattern index must be verifiable on-screen during the live stream as #661. For the purpose of this market, "Stream" refers to a live video broadcast hosted by TrainwrecksTV. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. For the purpose of this market, "opens" means TrainwrecksTV must personally unbox/open the item from a case and reveal the item during the live stream. Secondary market purchases, trades, or items opened off-stream will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be TrainwrecksTV's Kick channel (https://kick.com/trainwreckstv) and/or Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/trainwreckstv); however, a consensus of credible reporting with video evidence may also be used. If evidence from multiple platforms conflicts, resolution will be based on the clearest complete video record.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if TrainwrecksTV opens a Case Hardened AK-47 with Pattern Template #661 in any exterior condition (Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred) during a live stream by January 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, "Case Hardened AK-47 #661" refers to a Counter-Strike 2 AK-47 | Case Hardened skin with Pattern Template Index 661, commonly known as the "Blue Gem" pattern. The pattern index must be verifiable on-screen during the live stream as #661.

For the purpose of this market, "Stream" refers to a live video broadcast hosted by TrainwrecksTV. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

For the purpose of this market, "opens" means TrainwrecksTV must personally unbox/open the item from a case and reveal the item during the live stream. Secondary market purchases, trades, or items opened off-stream will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be TrainwrecksTV's Kick channel (https://kick.com/trainwreckstv) and/or Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/trainwreckstv); however, a consensus of credible reporting with video evidence may also be used. If evidence from multiple platforms conflicts, resolution will be based on the clearest complete video record.
Volume
$344
End Date
Jan 29, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TrainwrecksTV opens a Case Hardened AK-47 with Pattern Template #661 in any exterior condition (Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred) during a live stream by January 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "Case Hardened AK-47 #661" refers to a Counter-Strike 2 AK-47 | Case Hardened skin with Pattern Template Index 661, commonly known as the "Blue Gem" pattern. The pattern index must be verifiable on-screen during the live stream as #661. For the purpose of this market, "Stream" refers to a live video broadcast hosted by TrainwrecksTV. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. For the purpose of this market, "opens" means TrainwrecksTV must personally unbox/open the item from a case and reveal the item during the live stream. Secondary market purchases, trades, or items opened off-stream will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be TrainwrecksTV's Kick channel (https://kick.com/trainwreckstv) and/or Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/trainwreckstv); however, a consensus of credible reporting with video evidence may also be used. If evidence from multiple platforms conflicts, resolution will be based on the clearest complete video record.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trainwreckstv unbox a AK-47 Case Hardened #661?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.