Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 75% implied probability for Dantes facing a Twitch ban by May 1, reflecting his spotless record since securing Partner status in November 2025 after 25 prior rejections. The League of Legends streamer's consistent activity—183 hours broadcast in the last 30 days with average viewership over 990 and peaks near 4,000—shows no verified violations amid Twitch's February 2026 moderation revamp, which introduced graduated suspensions over permanent bans for lesser offenses. Absent fresh controversies or mass reports, this skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores platform leniency toward established partners, though high-stakes streams in the final days could introduce volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Dantes receive a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026?
Will Dantes receive a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026?
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May 1, 2026
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May 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 75% implied probability for Dantes facing a Twitch ban by May 1, reflecting his spotless record since securing Partner status in November 2025 after 25 prior rejections. The League of Legends streamer's consistent activity—183 hours broadcast in the last 30 days with average viewership over 990 and peaks near 4,000—shows no verified violations amid Twitch's February 2026 moderation revamp, which introduced graduated suspensions over permanent bans for lesser offenses. Absent fresh controversies or mass reports, this skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores platform leniency toward established partners, though high-stakes streams in the final days could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 75% implied probability for Dantes facing a Twitch ban by May 1, reflecting his spotless record since securing Partner status in November 2025 after 25 prior rejections. The League of Legends streamer's consistent activity—183 hours broadcast in the last 30 days with average viewership over 990 and peaks near 4,000—shows no verified violations amid Twitch's February 2026 moderation revamp, which introduced graduated suspensions over permanent bans for lesser offenses. Absent fresh controversies or mass reports, this skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores platform leniency toward established partners, though high-stakes streams in the final days could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 75% implied probability for Dantes facing a Twitch ban by May 1, reflecting his spotless record since securing Partner status in November 2025 after 25 prior rejections. The League of Legends streamer's consistent activity—183 hours broadcast in the last 30 days with average viewership over 990 and peaks near 4,000—shows no verified violations amid Twitch's February 2026 moderation revamp, which introduced graduated suspensions over permanent bans for lesser offenses. Absent fresh controversies or mass reports, this skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores platform leniency toward established partners, though high-stakes streams in the final days could introduce volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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