Name: Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?
Start: 2026-01-06T22:02:29.215804Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve removes the listed map from the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the removal lasts continuously for at least 48 hours.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Temporary or testing removals reversed within 48 hours do not count.

The "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in CS2, used for competitive matchmaking (Premier mode) and professional tournaments.

For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Mirage

Nuke

Overpass

Train

Inferno

Dust 2

Ancient

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve adds the map Cache to the official map pool by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Cache is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for this market to resolve to “Yes”. Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cache is added after the deadline, this market will resolve to “No”, even if the addition was announced earlier.

For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.

For the purpose of this market, the “official map pool” refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by February 28, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve launches Premier season 4 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Once launched, this market will remain open for 48 hours. Temporary launches (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count.

For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.

For the purpose of this market, “Premier season 4” refers to the fourth season of the Premier competitive matchmaking mode in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of seasonal leaderboards, rank resets, and associated rewards eligible in Premier mode matchmaking.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Valve launch Premier Season 4 by January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. 

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

New Half-Life game by June 30?

The Pricempire Counter-Strike 2 Market Cap is intended to measure the value of all items available for sale in the Counter-Strike 2 economy across various Counter-Strike 2 marketplaces. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily datapoint of the cumulative Market Cap graph for Counter-Strike 2 skins and other items, as tracked by the market database Pricempire (https://app.pricempire.com/), reaches or surpasses $6 billion for any day between market issuance and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A day’s datapoint will be considered finalized once the following day’s final number displayed in the graph for the respective date at 00:00 has been released.

If the $6 billion threshold is reached or exceeded by any finalized daily Pricempire Counter-Strike 2 market cap, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes”.

Statements by Pricempire that the Counter-Strike Market Cap data is inaccurate for any qualifying point, or downward revisions of an initially qualifying point, will not be sufficient to disqualify a finalized daily Market Cap figure from resolving this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the “CS2 Marketcap” figure and graph available at https://app.pricempire.com/. 

If this resolution source becomes unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No”.

CS2 market cap reaches 6 billion again by January 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FalleN, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

An announcement from FalleN that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. 

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless FalleN explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports.

The resolution source will be official announcements from FalleN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will FalleN retire by June 1? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur:
- The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country
- A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country
- Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country
- A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions
- Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers

The following do not count as a country being removed:
- Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent)
- Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers
- Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action
- Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned)

Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.

Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.

An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.

The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.


Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if nocries signs with a professional Counter-Strike 2 organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A professional Counter-Strike 2 organization is any organization that fields a paid Counter-Strike 2 roster in official CS2 competitions.

“Signs” refers to nocries entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay nocries to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for a specific organization will also not count.

A signed professional contract between nocries and a qualifying Counter-Strike 2 organization within this market’s timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after June 30, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and nocries, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?

This is a market to predict which teams finish in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League Regular Season standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed team officially finishes in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more teams are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Call of Duty League tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Call of Duty League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Call of Duty League (https://www.callofdutyleague.com/en-us/standings?utm_source=cdlweb&utm_medium=navigationbar&utm_campaign=general). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paris Gentle Mates finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Tricked" if Tricked win Map 1 against Leo Team in this match.

This market will resolve to "Leo Team" if Leo Team win Map 1 against Tricked in this match.

If the match is concluded before Map 1 is played (e.g., a team clinches the match early), this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.

If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from liquipedia: https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Main_Page

Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Cloudflare may classify as Critical.

Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?

The VCT 2026 Pacific Kickoff is scheduled to take place from January 22 to February 15, 2026, in Seoul, South Korea.

This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for Masters Santiago from the VCT 2026 Pacific Kickoff.

If the listed team officially finishes in the top 3 of the 12-team triple-elimination bracket (1st, 2nd, or 3rd place), the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

Ties in standings will be broken according to the official VCT rules.

If the VCT 2026 Pacific Kickoff is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of Masters Santiago qualifiers from Pacific is not published before March 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Valorant Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Pacific_League/Kickoff) may also be used.

Will VARREL qualify to Masters Santiago 2026?

This market will resolve to the team that wins the LCK Cup 2026 scheduled for Jan 14 - March 1.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the LCK Cup 2026 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the LCK Cup 2026 is cancelled, postponed after March 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/LCK/2026/Cup). 

Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:

- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.

If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:

1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.

2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
 
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.

EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

EU dissolves before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for February 14th - February 22nd, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL Esports (https://www.pglesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/PGL/2026/Cluj-Napoca)

Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:

1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.

2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
 
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.

NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Train
$1,112 Vol.
75%

Inferno
$80 Vol.
50%

Ancient
$149 Vol.
27%

Nuke
$0 Vol.
26%

Dust 2
$0 Vol.
16%

Overpass
$40 Vol.
15%

Mirage
$120 Vol.
32%

Market Context

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Rules

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Market Context

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

About

Related

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Train$1,112 Vol.75%Buy Yes99.7¢Buy No49.9¢

Inferno$80 Vol.50%Buy Yes93¢Buy No94¢

Ancient$149 Vol.27%Buy Yes50¢Buy No96¢

Nuke$0 Vol.26%Buy Yes50¢Buy No98¢

Dust 2$0 Vol.16%Buy Yes30¢Buy No97¢

Overpass$40 Vol.15%Buy Yes25¢Buy No95¢

Mirage$120 Vol.32%Buy Yes59¢Buy No95¢

Market Context

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Rules

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Market Context

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

About

Related

Train
$1,112 Vol.
75%

Inferno
$80 Vol.
50%

Ancient
$149 Vol.
27%

Nuke
$0 Vol.
26%

Dust 2
$0 Vol.
16%

Overpass
$40 Vol.
15%

Mirage
$120 Vol.
32%