Market icon

What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?

Market icon

What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?

What Do You Mean? 50%

Ghost 49%

Boyfriend 49%

Sorry 47%

Polymarket
NEW

What Do You Mean? 50%

Ghost 49%

Boyfriend 49%

Sorry 47%

Polymarket
NEW

What Do You Mean?

$0 Vol.

50%

Ghost

$0 Vol.

49%

Boyfriend

$0 Vol.

49%

Sorry

$0 Vol.

47%

Let Me Love You

$0 Vol.

44%

Beauty and a Beat

$0 Vol.

44%

Baby

$0 Vol.

43%

Peaches

$0 Vol.

41%

Where Are Ü Now

$0 Vol.

39%

Cold Water

$0 Vol.

31%

Love Yourself

$0 Vol.

31%

10,000 Hours

$0 Vol.

26%

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "What Do You Mean?" at 51% implied probability as Justin Bieber's likely Coachella opener, propelled by its prominent kickoff slot in his high-profile July 2024 performance at the Ambani wedding—his first major live set in years following health hiatus. Close challengers like Ghost (49.5%), Boyfriend (48.5%), and Sorry (47.5%) reflect competitive dynamics pitting recent Justice-era tracks against enduring fan anthems from Purpose and Believe eras, informed by streaming dominance on Spotify, historical tour setlists, and social buzz. With no rehearsal leaks and Coachella Weekend 1 approaching in April 2025, last-minute promotional hints or fan polls could swing the razor-thin lead among these chart-toppers.

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella.

To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Apr 18, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "What Do You Mean?" at 51% implied probability as Justin Bieber's likely Coachella opener, propelled by its prominent kickoff slot in his high-profile July 2024 performance at the Ambani wedding—his first major live set in years following health hiatus. Close challengers like Ghost (49.5%), Boyfriend (48.5%), and Sorry (47.5%) reflect competitive dynamics pitting recent Justice-era tracks against enduring fan anthems from Purpose and Believe eras, informed by streaming dominance on Spotify, historical tour setlists, and social buzz. With no rehearsal leaks and Coachella Weekend 1 approaching in April 2025, last-minute promotional hints or fan polls could swing the razor-thin lead among these chart-toppers.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "What Do You Mean?" at 51% implied probability as Justin Bieber's likely Coachella opener, propelled by its prominent kickoff slot in his high-profile July 2024 performance at the Ambani wedding—his first major live set in years following health hiatus. Close challengers like Ghost (49.5%), Boyfriend (48.5%), and Sorry (47.5%) reflect competitive dynamics pitting recent Justice-era tracks against enduring fan anthems from Purpose and Believe eras, informed by streaming dominance on Spotify, historical tour setlists, and social buzz. With no rehearsal leaks and Coachella Weekend 1 approaching in April 2025, last-minute promotional hints or fan polls could swing the razor-thin lead among these chart-toppers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "What Do You Mean?" at 50%, followed by "Ghost" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is "What Do You Mean?" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ghost" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.