Name: What price will Aster hit in 2026?
Start: 2025-11-24T22:12:30.763075Z
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Aster (ASTER/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ASTER/USDT “High” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ASTER_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ASTER/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 2.00

↑ 1.60

↑ 1.20

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Aster (ASTER/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ASTER/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ASTER_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ASTER/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↓ 0.80

↓ 0.40

↑ 2.20

↑ 1.80

↑ 1.40

↓ 1.00

↓ 0.60

↓ 0.20

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.

This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.

The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid is flipped in open interest by another perpetual DEX at any point in 2026 (ET). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be DeFiLlama open interest data (https://defillama.com/open-interest).

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?

If the Bill Ackman Index performs better than the S&P 500 Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “Ackman”. If the S&P 500 Index performs better than the Bill Ackman Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “S&P”. 

The performance of each index will be the 1-month trailing percentage return of the index for the final trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680

Information from the "Performance" table for the Bill Ackman Index, specifically the 1-month trailing percentage return figures found under "1M", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified month.

If the Bill Ackman Index’s 1-month trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified month is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next month is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-month trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("S&P") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table for the S&P 500 will be used to resolve this market. The S&P 500’s 1-month trailing percentage return will be calculated as the percentage change between the S&P 500’s closing price on the final trading day of the specified month and its closing price on the same calendar day of the previous month. If the relevant day in the previous month was not a trading day, the most recent trading day before this day will be used. If the same calendar day does not exist in the previous month, the return will be calculated using the final trading day of the previous month. Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If either of the relevant days lack a specified closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price for that day.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price or 1-month return figure published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If both indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Ackman vs. S&P - January

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. 

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

↑ 2.20
$3,582 Vol.
22%

↑ 2.00
$166 Vol.
51%

↑ 1.80
$361 Vol.
39%

↑ 1.60
$574 Vol.
39%

↑ 1.40
$402 Vol.
52%

↓ 0.60
$0 Vol.
74%

↓ 0.40
$408 Vol.
72%

↓ 0.20
$0 Vol.
32%

Market Context

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

Rules

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

Market Context

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

About

Related

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

↑ 2.20$3,582 Vol.22%buy Yes24¢buy No79¢

↑ 2.00$166 Vol.51%buy Yes89¢buy No88¢

↑ 1.80$361 Vol.39%buy Yes56¢buy No78¢

↑ 1.60$574 Vol.39%buy Yes54¢buy No77¢

↑ 1.40$402 Vol.52%buy Yes64¢buy No60¢

↓ 0.60$0 Vol.74%buy Yes91¢buy No44¢

↓ 0.40$408 Vol.72%buy Yes93¢buy No49¢

↓ 0.20$0 Vol.32%buy Yes49¢buy No86¢

Market Context

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

Rules

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

Market Context

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

About

Related

↑ 2.20
$3,582 Vol.
22%

↑ 2.00
$166 Vol.
51%

↑ 1.80
$361 Vol.
39%

↑ 1.60
$574 Vol.
39%

↑ 1.40
$402 Vol.
52%

↓ 0.60
$0 Vol.
74%

↓ 0.40
$408 Vol.
72%

↓ 0.20
$0 Vol.
32%