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US Open Winner (W)

Market icon

US Open Winner (W)

Aryna Sabalenka 100.0%

Qinwen Zheng <1%

Elena Rybakina <1%

Naomi Osaka <1%

Polymarket

$477,997 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 100.0%

Qinwen Zheng <1%

Elena Rybakina <1%

Naomi Osaka <1%

Polymarket

$477,997 Vol.

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Elena Rybakina

$47,008 Vol.

No

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Jessica Pegula

$56,895 Vol.

No

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Naomi Osaka

$13,403 Vol.

No

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Mirra Andreeva

$5,729 Vol.

No

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Qinwen Zheng

$70,127 Vol.

No

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Other

$44,480 Vol.

No

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Jasmine Paolini

$12,683 Vol.

No

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Karolina Muchova

$35,120 Vol.

No

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Danielle Rose Collins

$3,223 Vol.

No

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Aryna Sabalenka

$71,918 Vol.

Yes

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Iga Swiatek

$92,294 Vol.

No

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Coco Gauff

$25,116 Vol.

No

The market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2024 US Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$477,997
End Date
Sep 7, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2024, 1:39 AM ET
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2024 US Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open Winner (W)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 100%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open Winner (W)" has generated $478K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 23, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open Winner (W)," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open Winner (W)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open Winner (W)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.