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icon for What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?

What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?

icon for What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?

What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?

$44,546 Vol.

Feb 10, 2022
Polymarket

$44,546 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for More than 6.8%?

More than 6.8%?

$348 Vol.

Yes

icon for More than 7.0%?

More than 7.0%?

$20,725 Vol.

Yes

icon for More than 7.2%?

More than 7.2%?

$23,473 Vol.

Yes

This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 6.8% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 7.0% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 7.2% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 6.8% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$44,546
End Date
Feb 14, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 6.8% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 6.8% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 7.0% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 7.2% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 6.8% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$44,546
End Date
Feb 14, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), for the 12 months ending January 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U, for all items) before seasonal adjustment. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 6.8% from January 2021 to January 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on February 10 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note, that this market refers to the all items index increase for the 12 month period, before seasonal adjustment. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note, that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 5.8%, 6.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "More than 6.8%?" at 100%, followed by "More than 7.0%?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?" has generated $44.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 18, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?" is "More than 6.8%?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "More than 7.0%?" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the U.S. annual inflation be on January 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.