President Trump's February 19 directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and federal agencies to identify and release government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs), UFOs, and extraterrestrial life sparked widespread anticipation following former President Obama's comments on the topic. Despite Pentagon confirmation of ongoing reviews by the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) and government registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains in March, no new declassified files have been publicized as of early April, due to bureaucratic classification reviews and interagency coordination. Sources suggest potential releases could include videos or images of non-human craft, but no firm timeline exists; traders eye upcoming AARO reports, congressional briefings, or White House announcements for resolution triggers amid historical delays in UAP disclosures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$170,076 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
April 30
11%
December 31
57%
$170,076 Vol.
April 30
$29,489 Vol.
11%
December 31
$16,053 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 19 directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and federal agencies to identify and release government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs), UFOs, and extraterrestrial life sparked widespread anticipation following former President Obama's comments on the topic. Despite Pentagon confirmation of ongoing reviews by the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) and government registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains in March, no new declassified files have been publicized as of early April, due to bureaucratic classification reviews and interagency coordination. Sources suggest potential releases could include videos or images of non-human craft, but no firm timeline exists; traders eye upcoming AARO reports, congressional briefings, or White House announcements for resolution triggers amid historical delays in UAP disclosures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Volume
$170,076End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 19 directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and federal agencies to identify and release government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs), UFOs, and extraterrestrial life sparked widespread anticipation following former President Obama's comments on the topic. Despite Pentagon confirmation of ongoing reviews by the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) and government registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains in March, no new declassified files have been publicized as of early April, due to bureaucratic classification reviews and interagency coordination. Sources suggest potential releases could include videos or images of non-human craft, but no firm timeline exists; traders eye upcoming AARO reports, congressional briefings, or White House announcements for resolution triggers amid historical delays in UAP disclosures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$170,076End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's February 19 directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and federal agencies to identify and release government files on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAPs), UFOs, and extraterrestrial life sparked widespread anticipation following former President Obama's comments on the topic. Despite Pentagon confirmation of ongoing reviews by the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) and government registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains in March, no new declassified files have been publicized as of early April, due to bureaucratic classification reviews and interagency coordination. Sources suggest potential releases could include videos or images of non-human craft, but no firm timeline exists; traders eye upcoming AARO reports, congressional briefings, or White House announcements for resolution triggers amid historical delays in UAP disclosures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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