SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9
$441,297 Vol.
Apr 15, 2025
April 15
$4,291 Vol.
No
April 15
$4,291 Vol.
No
April 30
$7,720 Vol.
No
April 30
$7,720 Vol.
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$157,153 Vol.
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$157,153 Vol.
No
Super Heavy explodes?
$99,839 Vol.
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
$99,839 Vol.
Yes
Trump attends launch?
$5,512 Vol.
No
Trump attends launch?
$5,512 Vol.
No
Successful splash down?
$26,850 Vol.
No
Successful splash down?
$26,850 Vol.
No
Launched by May 20
$17,193 Vol.
No
Launched by May 20
$17,193 Vol.
No
Launched by May 31
$122,738 Vol.
Yes
Launched by May 31
$122,738 Vol.
Yes
Rules
If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Created At: Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ET
Volume
$441,297End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9
$441,297 Vol.
April 15
$4,291 Vol.
No
April 30
$7,720 Vol.
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$157,153 Vol.
No
Super Heavy explodes?
$99,839 Vol.
Yes
Trump attends launch?
$5,512 Vol.
No
Successful splash down?
$26,850 Vol.
No
Launched by May 20
$17,193 Vol.
No
Launched by May 31
$122,738 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$441,297End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...
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