$518,658 Vol.
March 6
Yes
March 5
No
March 3
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
Yes
Reaches space?
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
Yes
Trump attends launch?
No
Successful splash down?
No
Launch before March 15?
Yes
Launch before March?
No
Launch before April?
Yes
$518,658 Vol.
March 6
Yes
March 5
No
March 3
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
Yes
Reaches space?
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
Yes
Trump attends launch?
No
Successful splash down?
No
Launch before March 15?
Yes
Launch before March?
No
Launch before April?
Yes
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Market Opened: Jan 17, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x6a9d22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Resolver
0x6a9d22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes




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