SpaceX Starship Flight Test 7
$1,323,045 Vol.
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
No
Reaches space?
Yes
Successful splash down?
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
Yes
Trump attends launch?
No
Launch by Jan 10?
No
Launch by Jan 15?
No
Launch before February?
Yes
$1,323,045 Vol.
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
No
Reaches space?
Yes
Successful splash down?
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
Yes
Trump attends launch?
No
Launch by Jan 10?
No
Launch by Jan 15?
No
Launch before February?
Yes
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred. If the seventh launch has not occurred by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred. If the seventh launch has not occurred by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes




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