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Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Arvell Reese 71%

David Bailey 15%

Fernando Mendoza 8.8%

Reuben Bain Jr. 5.9%

Polymarket

$162,138 Vol.

Arvell Reese 71%

David Bailey 15%

Fernando Mendoza 8.8%

Reuben Bain Jr. 5.9%

Polymarket

$162,138 Vol.

Arvell Reese

$6,123 Vol.

71%

David Bailey

$43,352 Vol.

15%

Fernando Mendoza

$11,235 Vol.

10%

Reuben Bain Jr.

$3,157 Vol.

6%

Carson Beck

$1,297 Vol.

5%

Carnell Tate

$1,480 Vol.

4%

Sonny Styles

$0 Vol.

4%

Francis Mauigoa

$2,406 Vol.

4%

Ty Simpson

$1,531 Vol.

3%

Dante Moore

$80,545 Vol.

2%

Garrett Nussmeier

$1,771 Vol.

2%

Jeremiyah Love

$1,332 Vol.

1%

Drew Allar

$1,083 Vol.

1%

Peter Woods

$817 Vol.

1%

Trevor Goosby

$786 Vol.

1%

T.J. Parker

$1,143 Vol.

1%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

1%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$0 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$1,118 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$1,409 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kayden McDonald

$1,468 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Ohio State EDGE/LB Arvell Reese at 70.5% implied probability for the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, propelled by Chris Simms' recent ranking of him as potentially the class' best player with Micah Parsons-like explosiveness and versatility (three days ago), a dominant Ohio State Pro Day workout last week, and multiple mock drafts projecting him to the New York Jets at No. 2 amid their pass-rush needs. James Pearce Jr. (50%), Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), and Malaki Starks (49%) trail closely as competitive alternatives, buoyed by their elite college tape, big-board buzz on PFF and others updated two days ago, and top-30 visits signaling strong team interest, though Reese's recent odds favoritism on DraftKings (-220 for Jets) and 14-hour-old reports cement his edge in a talent-rich but positionally thin class.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$162,138
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Ohio State EDGE/LB Arvell Reese at 70.5% implied probability for the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, propelled by Chris Simms' recent ranking of him as potentially the class' best player with Micah Parsons-like explosiveness and versatility (three days ago), a dominant Ohio State Pro Day workout last week, and multiple mock drafts projecting him to the New York Jets at No. 2 amid their pass-rush needs. James Pearce Jr. (50%), Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), and Malaki Starks (49%) trail closely as competitive alternatives, buoyed by their elite college tape, big-board buzz on PFF and others updated two days ago, and top-30 visits signaling strong team interest, though Reese's recent odds favoritism on DraftKings (-220 for Jets) and 14-hour-old reports cement his edge in a talent-rich but positionally thin class.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$162,138
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 71%, followed by "David Bailey" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " has generated $162.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick ," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is "Arvell Reese" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Bailey" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.