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2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Market icon

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Arvell Reese 53%

David Bailey 42%

Fernando Mendoza <1%

Ty Simpson <1%

Polymarket

$550,477 Vol.

Arvell Reese 53%

David Bailey 42%

Fernando Mendoza <1%

Ty Simpson <1%

Polymarket

$550,477 Vol.

Arvell Reese

$28,566 Vol.

53%

David Bailey

$67,101 Vol.

42%

Fernando Mendoza

$123,400 Vol.

1%

Ty Simpson

$25,529 Vol.

1%

Jeremiyah Love

$15,869 Vol.

1%

Reuben Bain Jr.

$13,692 Vol.

<1%

Dante Moore

$124,793 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$9,179 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$10,761 Vol.

<1%

Sonny Styles

$70,561 Vol.

<1%

Carnell Tate

$10,935 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$2,728 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$2,097 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$16,417 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$1,831 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Goosby

$3,007 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$2,817 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$2,329 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$2,307 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$2,992 Vol.

<1%

Kayden McDonald

$2,780 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$6,390 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$4,331 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NFL Draft set for April 23-25, New York Jets holding the No. 2 pick amid a loaded EDGE class has traders tightly clustered on Arvell Reese (52.5%), James Pearce Jr. (50.0%), Kelvin Banks Jr. (49.0%), Malaki Starks (49.0%), and David Bailey (42.0%) as implied probabilities. Recent final big boards from PFF (Reese No. 2 overall) and Dane Brugler (Reese No. 1) clash with USA TODAY's top EDGE ranking for Bailey and rising buzz on Pearce's pure pass-rush traits, Banks' elite OT protection, and Starks' ballhawk safety skills after strong pro days and top-30 visits. Jets' pass-rush needs under HC Aaron Glenn fuel the debate, with no clear consensus amid conflicting mocks and pre-draft workouts elevating multiple blue-chip fits.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$550,477
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NFL Draft set for April 23-25, New York Jets holding the No. 2 pick amid a loaded EDGE class has traders tightly clustered on Arvell Reese (52.5%), James Pearce Jr. (50.0%), Kelvin Banks Jr. (49.0%), Malaki Starks (49.0%), and David Bailey (42.0%) as implied probabilities. Recent final big boards from PFF (Reese No. 2 overall) and Dane Brugler (Reese No. 1) clash with USA TODAY's top EDGE ranking for Bailey and rising buzz on Pearce's pure pass-rush traits, Banks' elite OT protection, and Starks' ballhawk safety skills after strong pro days and top-30 visits. Jets' pass-rush needs under HC Aaron Glenn fuel the debate, with no clear consensus amid conflicting mocks and pre-draft workouts elevating multiple blue-chip fits.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$550,477
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 53%, followed by "David Bailey" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " has generated $550.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick ," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is "Arvell Reese" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Bailey" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.