Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Tyrese Maxey as the NBA steals per game leader at 38% implied probability, with Ausar Thompson (29%) and Cason Wallace (22%) close behind amid a razor-thin race where all three average 2.0 SPG through late March. Maxey's edge stems from consistent high-minute production for the 76ers—logging 124-133 total steals in 60+ games—bolstered by his perimeter defensive activity despite offensive load management concerns. Thompson's breakout defensive role with the Pistons has netted 123-130 steals in fewer outings, fueling upside, while Wallace's league-leading totals (up to 140 for OKC) highlight his steals prowess on a contending Thunder squad. With few regular-season games left, no major injuries reported for the trio, and Dyson Daniels (6%) trailing at 1.9 SPG, traders weigh remaining schedules, minutes restrictions, and defensive matchups as pivotal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTyrese Maxey 37.7%
Ausar Thompson 28.8%
Cason Wallace 21%
Dyson Daniels 6.2%
$566,560 Vol.
$566,560 Vol.
Tyrese Maxey
38%
Ausar Thompson
29%
Cason Wallace
21%
Dyson Daniels
6%
Kawhi Leonard
6%
Jalen Suggs
2%
Jalen Williams
1%
Kris Dunn
1%
Luka Doncic
1%
Lonzo Ball
1%
Nikola Jokic
1%
Matisse Thybulle
1%
Herbert Jones
<1%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
<1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Alex Caruso
<1%
De'Aaron Fox
<1%
OG Anunoby
<1%
Toumani Camara
<1%
Mikal Bridges
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Paul George
<1%
LaMelo Ball
<1%
Reed Sheppard
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
Paolo Banchero
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Andrew Nembhard
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Tari Eason
<1%
Josh Hart
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Anthony Edwards
<1%
Jimmy Butler
<1%
James Harden
<1%
Scottie Barnes
<1%
Franz Wagner
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jordan Poole
<1%
Jaden McDaniels
<1%
Tyrese Maxey 37.7%
Ausar Thompson 28.8%
Cason Wallace 21%
Dyson Daniels 6.2%
$566,560 Vol.
$566,560 Vol.
Tyrese Maxey
38%
Ausar Thompson
29%
Cason Wallace
21%
Dyson Daniels
6%
Kawhi Leonard
6%
Jalen Suggs
2%
Jalen Williams
1%
Kris Dunn
1%
Luka Doncic
1%
Lonzo Ball
1%
Nikola Jokic
1%
Matisse Thybulle
1%
Herbert Jones
<1%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
<1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Alex Caruso
<1%
De'Aaron Fox
<1%
OG Anunoby
<1%
Toumani Camara
<1%
Mikal Bridges
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Paul George
<1%
LaMelo Ball
<1%
Reed Sheppard
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
Paolo Banchero
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Andrew Nembhard
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Tari Eason
<1%
Josh Hart
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Anthony Edwards
<1%
Jimmy Butler
<1%
James Harden
<1%
Scottie Barnes
<1%
Franz Wagner
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jordan Poole
<1%
Jaden McDaniels
<1%
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:45 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Tyrese Maxey as the NBA steals per game leader at 38% implied probability, with Ausar Thompson (29%) and Cason Wallace (22%) close behind amid a razor-thin race where all three average 2.0 SPG through late March. Maxey's edge stems from consistent high-minute production for the 76ers—logging 124-133 total steals in 60+ games—bolstered by his perimeter defensive activity despite offensive load management concerns. Thompson's breakout defensive role with the Pistons has netted 123-130 steals in fewer outings, fueling upside, while Wallace's league-leading totals (up to 140 for OKC) highlight his steals prowess on a contending Thunder squad. With few regular-season games left, no major injuries reported for the trio, and Dyson Daniels (6%) trailing at 1.9 SPG, traders weigh remaining schedules, minutes restrictions, and defensive matchups as pivotal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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