Name: Monad FDV one day after launch?
Start: 2025-06-26T19:48:24.073518Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$2B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $6,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$6B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $8,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$8B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $10,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$10B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $12,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$12B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $14,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$14B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$4B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $3,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$3B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $5,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

>$5B

Monad FDV one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 25, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Base Airdrop occurs
- Metamask Airdrop occurs
- OpenSea Airdrop occurs
- Pump.fun Airdrop occurs

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/airdrop.png

Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- A hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A megaquake occurs

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Natural+Disaster+Edition.pdf 

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for FedEx (FDX) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for FDX prior to the earnings release.

This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price.

The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If FDX does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for FDX.

FedEx (FDX) Up or Down After Earnings?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).

If the twelfth launch has not occurred by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between November 3 12:30PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.

Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for Korn Ferry (KFY) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for KFY prior to the earnings release.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for Korn Ferry (KFY) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for KFY prior to the earnings release.

This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price.

The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If KFY does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for KFY.

Monad FDV one day after launch?

>$2B
$7,362,833 Vol.
Yes

>$3B
$5,678,577 Vol.
Yes

>$4B
$34,894,821 Vol.
No

>$5B
$1,869,366 Vol.
No

>$6B
$1,591,810 Vol.
No

>$8B
$1,034,004 Vol.
No

>$10B
$578,790 Vol.
No

>$12B
$377,186 Vol.
No

>$14B
$403,150 Vol.
No

Market Context

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Rules

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Market Context

Monad FDV one day after launch?

About

Related

Monad FDV one day after launch?

>$2B$7,362,833 Vol.Yescircle check

>$3B$5,678,577 Vol.Yescircle check

>$4B$34,894,821 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$5B$1,869,366 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$6B$1,591,810 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$8B$1,034,004 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$10B$578,790 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$12B$377,186 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$14B$403,150 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Rules

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Market Context

Monad FDV one day after launch?

About

Related

>$2B
$7,362,833 Vol.
Yes

>$3B
$5,678,577 Vol.
Yes

>$4B
$34,894,821 Vol.
No

>$5B
$1,869,366 Vol.
No

>$6B
$1,591,810 Vol.
No

>$8B
$1,034,004 Vol.
No

>$10B
$578,790 Vol.
No

>$12B
$377,186 Vol.
No

>$14B
$403,150 Vol.
No