With roughly 20 games into the 162-game MLB season, standings are tight and volatile, but the Los Angeles Dodgers' blistering 15-4 start—fueled by dominant pitching and timely hitting—has entrenched them as virtual locks for the postseason per projection models like FanGraphs (99.7% implied probability). Atlanta Braves (13-7) lead a middling NL East, while Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds (both 12-8) top a bunched NL Central wild card race alongside Cardinals and Brewers at 11-8. In the AL, Rays (11-8) and Yankees (11-9) pace the East, with Twins (11-9) and Guardians (11-10) holding early wild card edges despite Mariners' cold 8-13 mark. Traders eye pitching health, rotation depth, and strength of schedule amid inevitable hot/cold streaks over the marathon campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Team to make postseason
MLB: Team to make postseason
Los Angeles Dodgers
95%
New York Yankees
78%
Atlanta Braves
78%
Seattle Mariners
69%
Pittsburgh Pirates
67%
New York Mets
66%
Toronto Blue Jays
61%
Tampa Bay Rays
61%
Milwaukee Brewers
73%
Detroit Tigers
56%
Texas Rangers
56%
Cleveland Guardians
55%
Cincinnati Reds
53%
Kansas City Royals
50%
Miami Marlins
50%
Philadelphia Phillies
46%
Baltimore Orioles
50%
Chicago Cubs
50%
San Diego Padres
26%
Minnesota Twins
42%
Arizona Diamondbacks
20%
Houston Astros
43%
Washington Nationals
33%
Athletics
33%
Boston Red Sox
33%
St. Louis Cardinals
32%
San Francisco Giants
31%
Los Angeles Angels
26%
Chicago White Sox
7%
Colorado Rockies
6%
$4,099 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
95%
New York Yankees
78%
Atlanta Braves
78%
Seattle Mariners
69%
Pittsburgh Pirates
67%
New York Mets
66%
Toronto Blue Jays
61%
Tampa Bay Rays
61%
Milwaukee Brewers
73%
Detroit Tigers
56%
Texas Rangers
56%
Cleveland Guardians
55%
Cincinnati Reds
53%
Kansas City Royals
50%
Miami Marlins
50%
Philadelphia Phillies
46%
Baltimore Orioles
50%
Chicago Cubs
50%
San Diego Padres
26%
Minnesota Twins
42%
Arizona Diamondbacks
20%
Houston Astros
43%
Washington Nationals
33%
Athletics
33%
Boston Red Sox
33%
St. Louis Cardinals
32%
San Francisco Giants
31%
Los Angeles Angels
26%
Chicago White Sox
7%
Colorado Rockies
6%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With roughly 20 games into the 162-game MLB season, standings are tight and volatile, but the Los Angeles Dodgers' blistering 15-4 start—fueled by dominant pitching and timely hitting—has entrenched them as virtual locks for the postseason per projection models like FanGraphs (99.7% implied probability). Atlanta Braves (13-7) lead a middling NL East, while Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds (both 12-8) top a bunched NL Central wild card race alongside Cardinals and Brewers at 11-8. In the AL, Rays (11-8) and Yankees (11-9) pace the East, with Twins (11-9) and Guardians (11-10) holding early wild card edges despite Mariners' cold 8-13 mark. Traders eye pitching health, rotation depth, and strength of schedule amid inevitable hot/cold streaks over the marathon campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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