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icon for MLB: Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

James Wood 10.6%

Drake Baldwin 2.7%

Kyle Schwarber 2.3%

Bryan Reynolds 1.6%

Polymarket

$1,688,996 Vol.

James Wood 10.6%

Drake Baldwin 2.7%

Kyle Schwarber 2.3%

Bryan Reynolds 1.6%

Polymarket

$1,688,996 Vol.

James Wood

$32 Vol.

11%

Drake Baldwin

$1,106 Vol.

3%

Kyle Schwarber

$682 Vol.

2%

Bryan Reynolds

$32 Vol.

2%

José Ramírez

$691 Vol.

2%

Aaron Judge

$1,631 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$1,139 Vol.

1%

José Bell

$527 Vol.

1%

Zach Neto

$259 Vol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$5,815 Vol.

1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$665,295 Vol.

1%

Julio Rodríguez

$63,736 Vol.

<1%

Luke Wood

$535 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Correa

$136,245 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$608 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$625 Vol.

<1%

Yordan Alvarez

$2,047 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$803 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,567 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$1,603 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$817 Vol.

<1%

Brett Turang

$354 Vol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$886 Vol.

<1%

Gunnar Henderson

$797,967 Vol.

<1%

Byron Buxton

$455 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$939 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$553 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$727 Vol.

<1%

Jose Altuve

$527 Vol.

<1%

Randy Arozarena

$515 Vol.

<1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$275 Vol.

63%

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB runs race with 118–119 scored through 157 games, reflecting his blend of extra-base power (45 home runs, 83 extra-base hits), on-base skills (.371 OBP), and speed (39 stolen bases) in the Cubs’ lineup. Recent September production, including multi-run and multi-home-run outbursts against Atlanta and Cincinnati, has widened the gap over pursuers like James Wood (104 runs) and Randy Arozarena (106). With roughly one week remaining, the Cubs outfielder’s combination of plate appearances, consistent scoring opportunities, and minimal injury risk has solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status, while late surges by others face steep mathematical barriers.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,688,996
End Date
Oct 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB runs race with 118–119 scored through 157 games, reflecting his blend of extra-base power (45 home runs, 83 extra-base hits), on-base skills (.371 OBP), and speed (39 stolen bases) in the Cubs’ lineup. Recent September production, including multi-run and multi-home-run outbursts against Atlanta and Cincinnati, has widened the gap over pursuers like James Wood (104 runs) and Randy Arozarena (106). With roughly one week remaining, the Cubs outfielder’s combination of plate appearances, consistent scoring opportunities, and minimal injury risk has solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status, while late surges by others face steep mathematical barriers.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,688,996
End Date
Oct 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 63%, followed by "James Wood" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Runs Leader" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Runs Leader," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Runs Leader" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Wood" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.