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icon for MLB: Next Red Sox Manager
Sports·MLB

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

icon for MLB: Next Red Sox Manager
Sports·MLB

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

Chad Tracy 100%

Brad Ausmus <1%

Rocco Baldelli <1%

David Ortiz <1%

Polymarket

$632,781 Vol.

Chad Tracy 100%

Brad Ausmus <1%

Rocco Baldelli <1%

David Ortiz <1%

Polymarket

$632,781 Vol.

Chad Tracy

$11,043 Vol.

Yes

Brad Ausmus

$414,920 Vol.

No

Rocco Baldelli

$1,039 Vol.

No

David Ortiz

$726 Vol.

No

Nomar Garciaparra

$943 Vol.

No

Alex Rodriguez

$699 Vol.

No

Jason Varitek

$781 Vol.

No

Andrew Bailey

$1,471 Vol.

No

David Ross

$1,896 Vol.

No

George Lombard

$719 Vol.

No

Omar López

$1,005 Vol.

No

Walker McKinven

$737 Vol.

No

Morgan Ensberg

$652 Vol.

No

Daniel Descalso

$907 Vol.

No

A.J. Ellis

$192,761 Vol.

No

Ryan Flaherty

$611 Vol.

No

JD Martinez

$601 Vol.

No

Dustin Pedroia

$547 Vol.

No

Brandon Hyde

$724 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Chad Tracy’s official appointment as the Red Sox’ permanent manager on September 22 has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99%.** After replacing Alex Cora following a 10-17 start in late April, the former Triple-A Worcester skipper guided Boston to a 74-55 mark, a franchise-record 15-game win streak, and a postseason berth via one of the most dramatic in-season turnarounds in club history. The team rewarded that performance with a three-year contract through 2029 (plus a 2030 club option) and paired the move with contract extensions for chief baseball officer Craig Breslow, emphasizing organizational continuity. With the decision publicly confirmed by the club just days after clinching, other listed candidates carry only residual 0.1% odds reflecting negligible uncertainty. The primary risk to resolution would require an unforeseen reversal of the announced deal, an extremely low-probability outcome given the timing and public statements from team leadership.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox.

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$632,781
End Date
Feb 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Chad Tracy’s official appointment as the Red Sox’ permanent manager on September 22 has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99%.** After replacing Alex Cora following a 10-17 start in late April, the former Triple-A Worcester skipper guided Boston to a 74-55 mark, a franchise-record 15-game win streak, and a postseason berth via one of the most dramatic in-season turnarounds in club history. The team rewarded that performance with a three-year contract through 2029 (plus a 2030 club option) and paired the move with contract extensions for chief baseball officer Craig Breslow, emphasizing organizational continuity. With the decision publicly confirmed by the club just days after clinching, other listed candidates carry only residual 0.1% odds reflecting negligible uncertainty. The primary risk to resolution would require an unforeseen reversal of the announced deal, an extremely low-probability outcome given the timing and public statements from team leadership.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox.

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$632,781
End Date
Feb 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chad Tracy" at 100%, followed by "Brad Ausmus" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" has generated $632.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" is "Chad Tracy" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Ausmus" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Next Red Sox Manager" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.