Shohei Ohtani holds the lowest ERA at 1.79 through 85.2 innings but sits on the injured list, while Ben Brown (1.85), Jacob Misiorowski (1.89), and Cam Schlittler (1.94) sit close behind with stronger recent form and more innings. Dylan Cease, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Cristopher Sánchez, and Tarik Skubal remain within striking distance as the final weeks feature heavy workloads and potential rest for contenders. With roughly two weeks left and no pitcher pulling away decisively, trader consensus reflects a fragmented race where late surges, injury returns, and qualification thresholds could still shift the leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMax Fried 3.4%
Logan Webb 3.3%
Tarik Skubal 2.9%
Dylan Cease 2.6%
$1,769,426 Vol.
$1,769,426 Vol.
Sep 27, 2026
Max Fried
3%
Logan Webb
3%
Tarik Skubal
3%
Dylan Cease
3%
Nick Pivetta
2%
Paul Skenes
2%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1%
Garrett Crochet
1%
Hunter Brown
1%
Matthew Boyd
1%
Taj Bradley
1%
Brayan Bello
1%
Bryce Elder
1%
Bryan Woo
1%
José Soriano
1%
Michael Wacha
1%
Carmen Mlodzinski
1%
Eduardo Rodriguez
1%
Clay Holmes
1%
Seth Lugo
1%
Nolan McLean
1%
Chad Patrick
1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Jeffrey Springs
<1%
Reynaldo López
<1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Andrew Abbott
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Emerson Hancock
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Cristopher Sánchez
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Merrill Kelly
<1%
Max Fried 3.4%
Logan Webb 3.3%
Tarik Skubal 2.9%
Dylan Cease 2.6%
$1,769,426 Vol.
$1,769,426 Vol.
Sep 27, 2026
Max Fried
$143 Vol.
3%
Logan Webb
$540 Vol.
3%
Tarik Skubal
$622 Vol.
3%
Dylan Cease
$8,550 Vol.
3%
Nick Pivetta
$360 Vol.
2%
Paul Skenes
$3,205 Vol.
2%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
$2,363 Vol.
1%
Garrett Crochet
$380 Vol.
1%
Hunter Brown
$788 Vol.
1%
Matthew Boyd
$394 Vol.
1%
Taj Bradley
$403 Vol.
1%
Brayan Bello
$715 Vol.
1%
Bryce Elder
$361 Vol.
1%
Bryan Woo
$630,203 Vol.
1%
José Soriano
$1,833 Vol.
1%
Michael Wacha
$348 Vol.
1%
Carmen Mlodzinski
$471 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Rodriguez
$1,018 Vol.
1%
Clay Holmes
$329 Vol.
1%
Seth Lugo
$468 Vol.
1%
Nolan McLean
$341 Vol.
1%
Chad Patrick
$291 Vol.
1%
Freddy Peralta
$307 Vol.
<1%
Jeffrey Springs
$1,092,637 Vol.
<1%
Reynaldo López
$317 Vol.
<1%
Connelly Early
$308 Vol.
<1%
Joe Ryan
$230 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Abbott
$957 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$9,735 Vol.
<1%
Emerson Hancock
$427 Vol.
<1%
Gavin Williams
$328 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Rodón
$224 Vol.
<1%
Cristopher Sánchez
$8,686 Vol.
<1%
Jacob deGrom
$738 Vol.
<1%
Merrill Kelly
$407 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani holds the lowest ERA at 1.79 through 85.2 innings but sits on the injured list, while Ben Brown (1.85), Jacob Misiorowski (1.89), and Cam Schlittler (1.94) sit close behind with stronger recent form and more innings. Dylan Cease, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Cristopher Sánchez, and Tarik Skubal remain within striking distance as the final weeks feature heavy workloads and potential rest for contenders. With roughly two weeks left and no pitcher pulling away decisively, trader consensus reflects a fragmented race where late surges, injury returns, and qualification thresholds could still shift the leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$1,769,426End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani holds the lowest ERA at 1.79 through 85.2 innings but sits on the injured list, while Ben Brown (1.85), Jacob Misiorowski (1.89), and Cam Schlittler (1.94) sit close behind with stronger recent form and more innings. Dylan Cease, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Cristopher Sánchez, and Tarik Skubal remain within striking distance as the final weeks feature heavy workloads and potential rest for contenders. With roughly two weeks left and no pitcher pulling away decisively, trader consensus reflects a fragmented race where late surges, injury returns, and qualification thresholds could still shift the leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,769,426End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani holds the lowest ERA at 1.79 through 85.2 innings but sits on the injured list, while Ben Brown (1.85), Jacob Misiorowski (1.89), and Cam Schlittler (1.94) sit close behind with stronger recent form and more innings. Dylan Cease, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Cristopher Sánchez, and Tarik Skubal remain within striking distance as the final weeks feature heavy workloads and potential rest for contenders. With roughly two weeks left and no pitcher pulling away decisively, trader consensus reflects a fragmented race where late surges, injury returns, and qualification thresholds could still shift the leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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