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Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Market icon
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Shohei Ohtani 48%

Kyle Schwarber 19%

Juan Soto 18%

Mookie Betts 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Shohei Ohtani 48%

Kyle Schwarber 19%

Juan Soto 18%

Mookie Betts 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Shohei Ohtani

$0 Vol.

48%

Kyle Schwarber

$0 Vol.

19%

Juan Soto

$0 Vol.

18%

Mookie Betts

$0 Vol.

5%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$0 Vol.

5%

Bryce Harper

$0 Vol.

4%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$0 Vol.

25%

Ketel Marte

$0 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$0 Vol.

<1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award following his historic 2024 campaign with the Dodgers—leading MLB with 54 home runs, 130 RBI, and 59 stolen bases while posting a .310/.390/.646 slash line and 190 OPS+ as a full-time DH. Juan Soto's blockbuster 15-year, $765 million signing with the Mets on December 10 elevates him to 21.5%, injecting elite on-base skills (.419 OBP) and power (41 HR in AL last year) into an NL lineup primed for Citi Field. Ronald Acuña Jr. (25.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (25.0%) reflect upside from Acuña's speed-power combo post-injury recovery and Schwarber's consistent 38-HR output with 104 RBI for the Phillies, though both trail Ohtani's all-around dominance amid health and age considerations heading into 2026.

Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award following his historic 2024 campaign with the Dodgers—leading MLB with 54 home runs, 130 RBI, and 59 stolen bases while posting a .310/.390/.646 slash line and 190 OPS+ as a full-time DH. Juan Soto's blockbuster 15-year, $765 million signing with the Mets on December 10 elevates him to 21.5%, injecting elite on-base skills (.419 OBP) and power (41 HR in AL last year) into an NL lineup primed for Citi Field. Ronald Acuña Jr. (25.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (25.0%) reflect upside from Acuña's speed-power combo post-injury recovery and Schwarber's consistent 38-HR output with 104 RBI for the Phillies, though both trail Ohtani's all-around dominance amid health and age considerations heading into 2026.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award following his historic 2024 campaign with the Dodgers—leading MLB with 54 home runs, 130 RBI, and 59 stolen bases while posting a .310/.390/.646 slash line and 190 OPS+ as a full-time DH. Juan Soto's blockbuster 15-year, $765 million signing with the Mets on December 10 elevates him to 21.5%, injecting elite on-base skills (.419 OBP) and power (41 HR in AL last year) into an NL lineup primed for Citi Field. Ronald Acuña Jr. (25.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (25.0%) reflect upside from Acuña's speed-power combo post-injury recovery and Schwarber's consistent 38-HR output with 104 RBI for the Phillies, though both trail Ohtani's all-around dominance amid health and age considerations heading into 2026.

Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award following his historic 2024 campaign with the Dodgers—leading MLB with 54 home runs, 130 RBI, and 59 stolen bases while posting a .310/.390/.646 slash line and 190 OPS+ as a full-time DH. Juan Soto's blockbuster 15-year, $765 million signing with the Mets on December 10 elevates him to 21.5%, injecting elite on-base skills (.419 OBP) and power (41 HR in AL last year) into an NL lineup primed for Citi Field. Ronald Acuña Jr. (25.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (25.0%) reflect upside from Acuña's speed-power combo post-injury recovery and Schwarber's consistent 38-HR output with 104 RBI for the Phillies, though both trail Ohtani's all-around dominance amid health and age considerations heading into 2026.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 48%, followed by "Ronald Acuña Jr." at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronald Acuña Jr." at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.