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Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Market icon
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Ronald Acuña Jr. 34.9%

Juan Soto 17%

Kyle Schwarber 8%

Bryce Harper <1%

Polymarket

$111,278 Vol.

Ronald Acuña Jr. 34.9%

Juan Soto 17%

Kyle Schwarber 8%

Bryce Harper <1%

Polymarket

$111,278 Vol.

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$99 Vol.

35%

Juan Soto

$30,151 Vol.

17%

Kyle Schwarber

$80,398 Vol.

11%

Bryce Harper

$57 Vol.

1%

Ketel Marte

$83 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$61 Vol.

<1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$199 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$57 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$76 Vol.

<1%

Shohei Ohtani

$99 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the defending 2025 NL Hank Aaron Award winner after a historic season with 55 home runs, league-leading 146 runs scored, 380 total bases, and a 1.014 OPS while also pitching effectively for the Dodgers. Kyle Schwarber's breakout 2025 campaign—MLB-leading 56 homers, 132 RBIs, and .928 OPS—positions him strongly at 32.5% despite a lower batting average, fueling expectations of sustained power from Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuña Jr. sits at 35% on rebound potential after a .290 average and 21 homers in 95 games amid injury setbacks, now fully healthy entering 2026. Juan Soto's solid Mets debut (.263/.921 OPS, 43 HR, 38 SB) trails at 19%, with the market reflecting a tightly contested race among proven sluggers absent recent spring training injuries or roster disruptions.

Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the defending 2025 NL Hank Aaron Award winner after a historic season with 55 home runs, league-leading 146 runs scored, 380 total bases, and a 1.014 OPS while also pitching effectively for the Dodgers. Kyle Schwarber's breakout 2025 campaign—MLB-leading 56 homers, 132 RBIs, and .928 OPS—positions him strongly at 32.5% despite a lower batting average, fueling expectations of sustained power from Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuña Jr. sits at 35% on rebound potential after a .290 average and 21 homers in 95 games amid injury setbacks, now fully healthy entering 2026. Juan Soto's solid Mets debut (.263/.921 OPS, 43 HR, 38 SB) trails at 19%, with the market reflecting a tightly contested race among proven sluggers absent recent spring training injuries or roster disruptions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the defending 2025 NL Hank Aaron Award winner after a historic season with 55 home runs, league-leading 146 runs scored, 380 total bases, and a 1.014 OPS while also pitching effectively for the Dodgers. Kyle Schwarber's breakout 2025 campaign—MLB-leading 56 homers, 132 RBIs, and .928 OPS—positions him strongly at 32.5% despite a lower batting average, fueling expectations of sustained power from Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuña Jr. sits at 35% on rebound potential after a .290 average and 21 homers in 95 games amid injury setbacks, now fully healthy entering 2026. Juan Soto's solid Mets debut (.263/.921 OPS, 43 HR, 38 SB) trails at 19%, with the market reflecting a tightly contested race among proven sluggers absent recent spring training injuries or roster disruptions.

Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the defending 2025 NL Hank Aaron Award winner after a historic season with 55 home runs, league-leading 146 runs scored, 380 total bases, and a 1.014 OPS while also pitching effectively for the Dodgers. Kyle Schwarber's breakout 2025 campaign—MLB-leading 56 homers, 132 RBIs, and .928 OPS—positions him strongly at 32.5% despite a lower batting average, fueling expectations of sustained power from Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuña Jr. sits at 35% on rebound potential after a .290 average and 21 homers in 95 games amid injury setbacks, now fully healthy entering 2026. Juan Soto's solid Mets debut (.263/.921 OPS, 43 HR, 38 SB) trails at 19%, with the market reflecting a tightly contested race among proven sluggers absent recent spring training injuries or roster disruptions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 54%, followed by "Ronald Acuña Jr." at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" has generated $111.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronald Acuña Jr." at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.