Trader consensus favors LCK at 59% implied probability for MSI 2026 victory, driven by T1's three-peat at Worlds 2025—capping a dominant knockout run past nine LPL squads—and sustained domestic strength in the ongoing LCK Spring Split, where KT Rolster leads standings ahead of DN Freecs and T1, priming multiple seeds via the Road to MSI. LPL trails at 35% after Bilibili Gaming's gritty 3-2 upper bracket playoff win in Split 1 and LNG Esports' group stage dominance, underscoring China's depth despite falling short internationally last year. LEC, LCS, and others linger below 6% amid weaker recent tournament results and historical gaps against East Asian powerhouses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLCK (South Korea) 59%
LPL (China) 35%
LEC (Europe / EMEA) 4.9%
LCP (Asia-Pacific) 1.2%
$48,542 Vol.
$48,542 Vol.
LCK (South Korea)
59%
LPL (China)
35%
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
5%
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
1%
LCS (North America)
1%
CBLOL (Brazil)
1%
LCK (South Korea) 59%
LPL (China) 35%
LEC (Europe / EMEA) 4.9%
LCP (Asia-Pacific) 1.2%
$48,542 Vol.
$48,542 Vol.
LCK (South Korea)
59%
LPL (China)
35%
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
5%
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
1%
LCS (North America)
1%
CBLOL (Brazil)
1%
If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Regions counted in MSI 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Regions counted in MSI 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors LCK at 59% implied probability for MSI 2026 victory, driven by T1's three-peat at Worlds 2025—capping a dominant knockout run past nine LPL squads—and sustained domestic strength in the ongoing LCK Spring Split, where KT Rolster leads standings ahead of DN Freecs and T1, priming multiple seeds via the Road to MSI. LPL trails at 35% after Bilibili Gaming's gritty 3-2 upper bracket playoff win in Split 1 and LNG Esports' group stage dominance, underscoring China's depth despite falling short internationally last year. LEC, LCS, and others linger below 6% amid weaker recent tournament results and historical gaps against East Asian powerhouses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions