T1's historic three-peat at Worlds 2025, capping LCK's dominance with both finalists from South Korea, anchors trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability for LCK claiming MSI 2026, bolstered by Gen.G's recent LCK Cup victory and Ruler's standout performances amid strong Split 1 form. LPL holds steady at 24% following Bilibili Gaming's breakthrough First Stand 2026 title over G2 Esports, signaling renewed depth in playoffs where BLG and JDG lead standings. LEC, LCS, LCP, and CBLOL trail below 6% combined, reflecting minor regions' consistent struggles in group stages and brackets against Eastern powerhouses, despite ongoing spring splits. Home-soil advantage in Daejeon further tilts sentiment toward LCK.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLCK (South Korea) 68%
LPL (China) 25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA) 5.7%
LCS (North America) 2.3%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.
LCK (South Korea)
68%
LPL (China)
25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
6%
LCS (North America)
2%
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
1%
CBLOL (Brazil)
1%
LCK (South Korea) 68%
LPL (China) 25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA) 5.7%
LCS (North America) 2.3%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.
LCK (South Korea)
68%
LPL (China)
25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
6%
LCS (North America)
2%
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
1%
CBLOL (Brazil)
1%
If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Regions counted in MSI 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Regions counted in MSI 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...T1's historic three-peat at Worlds 2025, capping LCK's dominance with both finalists from South Korea, anchors trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability for LCK claiming MSI 2026, bolstered by Gen.G's recent LCK Cup victory and Ruler's standout performances amid strong Split 1 form. LPL holds steady at 24% following Bilibili Gaming's breakthrough First Stand 2026 title over G2 Esports, signaling renewed depth in playoffs where BLG and JDG lead standings. LEC, LCS, LCP, and CBLOL trail below 6% combined, reflecting minor regions' consistent struggles in group stages and brackets against Eastern powerhouses, despite ongoing spring splits. Home-soil advantage in Daejeon further tilts sentiment toward LCK.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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