Trader consensus heavily favors G2 Esports at 49.5% implied probability to win the LEC 2026 Spring Split, driven by their championship roster stability featuring stars like Caps and Yike, recent LEC Versus title over Karmine Corp in a 3-2 grand final, and proven playoff dominance in double-elimination Bo5 formats despite a middling 1-2 regular season start including a 1-2 loss to Team Vitality last weekend. Karmine Corp's 26.5% reflects their perfect 2-0 Bo3 record, elite mid-game gold leads (+2,248 average 10-20 minutes), and strong Week 3 2-0 sweep of Team Heretics. Movistar KOI at 13.5% benefits from a balanced 2-2 mark and Supa's standout plays, while Team Vitality's 9.5% trails their standings lead (5-1, five-win streak) as traders prioritize G2's historical edge amid ongoing Week 4 matchups like today's G2 vs. SK Gaming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLEC 2026 Spring Winner
LEC 2026 Spring Winner
G2 Esports 49%
Karmine Corp 26%
Movistar KOI 14%
Team Vitality 9%

G2 Esports
49%

Karmine Corp
26%

Movistar KOI
14%

Team Vitality
9%

GIANTX
5%

Fnatic
3%

Natus Vincere
<1%

Shifters
<1%

Team Heretics
<1%

SK Gaming
<1%
G2 Esports 49%
Karmine Corp 26%
Movistar KOI 14%
Team Vitality 9%

G2 Esports
49%

Karmine Corp
26%

Movistar KOI
14%

Team Vitality
9%

GIANTX
5%

Fnatic
3%

Natus Vincere
<1%

Shifters
<1%

Team Heretics
<1%

SK Gaming
<1%
If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 11:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors G2 Esports at 49.5% implied probability to win the LEC 2026 Spring Split, driven by their championship roster stability featuring stars like Caps and Yike, recent LEC Versus title over Karmine Corp in a 3-2 grand final, and proven playoff dominance in double-elimination Bo5 formats despite a middling 1-2 regular season start including a 1-2 loss to Team Vitality last weekend. Karmine Corp's 26.5% reflects their perfect 2-0 Bo3 record, elite mid-game gold leads (+2,248 average 10-20 minutes), and strong Week 3 2-0 sweep of Team Heretics. Movistar KOI at 13.5% benefits from a balanced 2-2 mark and Supa's standout plays, while Team Vitality's 9.5% trails their standings lead (5-1, five-win streak) as traders prioritize G2's historical edge amid ongoing Week 4 matchups like today's G2 vs. SK Gaming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions