Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on March 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 20?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 20, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 20, 2026
43°F or below
$0 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$0 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
Yes
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 20, 2026Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 20, 2026Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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