Trader consensus favors Republic of Ireland at 62.5% implied probability in this international friendly at Aviva Stadium, driven by home advantage, a strong head-to-head record (unbeaten in six prior meetings, winning four), and sharp motivation to rebound from their penalty-shootout World Cup playoff loss to Czechia five days ago. Recent injury blows sideline Sammie Szmodics (head knock) and Jack Taylor, with Celtic's Liam Scales likely starting, but manager Heimir Hallgrímsson reports high squad availability and eagerness to "start driving again" post-heartbreak. North Macedonia's 16.5% underdog status reflects their bruising 1-7 aggregate playoff defeat to Wales and transitional camp woes, tempering upset potential despite past giant-killings, while the 22.5% draw price acknowledges friendly unpredictability and Ireland's recent tendency to drop leads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Republic of Ireland at 62.5% implied probability in this international friendly at Aviva Stadium, driven by home advantage, a strong head-to-head record (unbeaten in six prior meetings, winning four), and sharp motivation to rebound from their penalty-shootout World Cup playoff loss to Czechia five days ago. Recent injury blows sideline Sammie Szmodics (head knock) and Jack Taylor, with Celtic's Liam Scales likely starting, but manager Heimir Hallgrímsson reports high squad availability and eagerness to "start driving again" post-heartbreak. North Macedonia's 16.5% underdog status reflects their bruising 1-7 aggregate playoff defeat to Wales and transitional camp woes, tempering upset potential despite past giant-killings, while the 22.5% draw price acknowledges friendly unpredictability and Ireland's recent tendency to drop leads.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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