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Fed Interest Rates: July 2024

$2,791,944 Vol.

Jul 31, 2024

No Change 100.0%

50+ bps decrease <1%

25 bps decrease <1%

25+ bps increase <1%

0%20%40%60%80%100%

Source: Polymarket.com

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's July 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 50 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 30 - July 31, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by September 17, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Volume

$2,791,944

End Date

Jul 31, 2024

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Comments (32)
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Demorats

19h ago

henlo

gzacjz

3d ago

gg

guazi

3d ago

will not see myself at having one

Luangrath

4d ago

This is the move,don’t choke

The herd’s stampeding

ez win

OneT

8d ago

no way to make money

muusd

6d ago

@OneT

why?

pantomime

10d ago

can someone call the resolve function please

Just wait for Nickileaks, he has never been wrong

debased

debased

10d ago

Heard powell might change his rate decision. Big if true

username13

10d ago

ggwl until next time

slight-

10d ago

wow, scary. only 0.25 away from losing it all

Pedro999

10d ago

@slight-

ya just imagine to lose $600k. that is a decent living for like 5 villages for next 50 years in my area.

Oxymirin

Oxymirin

10d ago

@slight-

Hahaha

thares

thares

10d ago

As was the most likely outcome. Fed will begin to stop QT, transition towards QE and pause the rates for another cycle. See you all in May.

MaverickMoves

Did I win? What was this bet for?

Empanadas

Empanadas

10d ago

I was so stressed. What a stupid bet... Risking 9k to win $70, can you imagine that?

Flipadelphia

@Empanadas

Nothing stressful about it, no change was a lock

Empanadas

Empanadas

10d ago

@Flipadelphia

Surprises can always happen

Pedro999

10d ago

no way to make money

Empanadas

Empanadas

10d ago

@Pedro999

Maybe next time

Erasmus

Erasmus

10d ago

See you in may

Flipadelphia

@Erasmus

Only another 65 fed meetings and you'll get to break even

@Erasmus

I hope I will live to see you with a positive pnl, at least I will not see myself at having one.

Kickstand7

Kickstand7

10d ago

so close

Ryu40k

10d ago

Man that would of been nice, gg bois

LT1

10d ago

Powell is gay

Flipadelphia

gg

BlackSky123

ERASMUS IS FUCKED

BlackSky123

WHAT THE FUCK

BlackSky123

OMG IT'S DECREAESED

@BlackSky123

you are just joking, right? It stayed the same

here we go

JunCheng

10d ago

25 decrease letssgoooo

SoniaSona

10d ago

How long till we know?

@SoniaSona

In like 13 minutes

Kickstand7

Kickstand7

10d ago

Just 500 or $1k can net you life changing money on these. Act fast???

a suck 50+bps gambe

Pedro999

10d ago

we have to thank mr. Trump for this one. hes literally bringing economy into recession and FED will react by adjusting rates.

BlackSky123

@Pedro999

not a chance

LT1

10d ago

30 minutes to free money

AluCard

AluCard

10d ago

Lets see

Dadad

10d ago

Did jpow fart yet

Pedro999

10d ago

i wonder if Trump ruining the economy will force FED to change policy today.

igor1234

10d ago

lets get it!

zeliboba25

10d ago

ez money

epicRNG

epicRNG

10d ago

glgl

@epicRNG

what ARE YOU DOING BRO STOP GAMBLING !

BlackSky123

@epicRNG

How are you even worse at this website than me

ji69

10d ago

LFG

yyyykk

10d ago

10 dollars with the idea of buying a lottery ticket

LT1

10d ago

3 hours till rate cuts

username13

10d ago

Outcome: No

50+ bps decrease