Fed Interest Rates: December 2023
$56,610 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT

0 bps increase?
$29,458 Vol.
Yes

0 bps increase?
$29,458 Vol.
Yes

25 bps increase?
$27,152 Vol.
No

25 bps increase?
$27,152 Vol.
No
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 12 - 13, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 12 - 13, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$56,610
End Date
Dec 13, 2023
Resolution Source
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$56,610 Vol.
Fed Interest Rates: December 2023

0 bps increase?
$29,458 Vol.
Yes

25 bps increase?
$27,152 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$56,610
End Date
Dec 13, 2023
Resolution Source
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmResolver
0x6A9D22261...

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