Market icon

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

$693 Vol.

Jason Duey 47%

Kari Lake 43.1%

Matt Gress 41.2%

Joseph Chaplik 39.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$693
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Created At
Nov 25, 2025, 10:19 PM UTC
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$693 Vol.

Market icon

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jason Duey 47%

Kari Lake 43.1%

Matt Gress 41.2%

Joseph Chaplik 39.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Jason Duey

$66 Vol.

47%

Kari Lake

$82 Vol.

43%

Matt Gress

$66 Vol.

41%

Joseph Chaplik

$119 Vol.

40%

Gina Swoboda

$88 Vol.

26%

Todd Graham

$66 Vol.

8%

Mark Brnovich

$63 Vol.

8%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$143 Vol.

3%

About

Volume
$693
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Created At
Nov 25, 2025, 10:19 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.