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icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Aug 7

Aug 11

Aug 14

Aug 7

Aug 11

Aug 14

TWEET COUNT
84
Time left
TWEETS
84
Time left

180-199 32%

200-219 24%

160-179 19%

220-239 13%

Polymarket

$718,691 Vol.

180-199 32%

200-219 24%

160-179 19%

220-239 13%

Polymarket

$718,691 Vol.

80-99

$48,128 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$51,831 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$57,727 Vol.

1%

140-159

$36,852 Vol.

5%

160-179

$27,084 Vol.

19%

180-199

$33,548 Vol.

32%

200-219

$33,344 Vol.

24%

220-239

$24,978 Vol.

13%

240-259

$26,064 Vol.

5%

260-279

$29,259 Vol.

2%

280-299

$29,372 Vol.

1%

300-319

$36,735 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$28,385 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$29,071 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$24,832 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$26,787 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$24,574 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$6,227 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$14,453 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$6,847 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$6,862 Vol.

<1%

500+

$46,766 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace through early August has anchored trader consensus around the 180-219 tweet range, reflecting his typical engagement with real-time news cycles, Tesla and xAI updates, and platform governance discussions. The tight split between the 180-199 and 200-219 brackets highlights how daily volume can swing with breaking events or viral threads, while lower ranges remain discounted due to his established baseline activity. With the week concluding soon, any late surges tied to product announcements or public controversies could shift final tallies, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to Musk’s unpredictable online rhythm.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$718,691
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace through early August has anchored trader consensus around the 180-219 tweet range, reflecting his typical engagement with real-time news cycles, Tesla and xAI updates, and platform governance discussions. The tight split between the 180-199 and 200-219 brackets highlights how daily volume can swing with breaking events or viral threads, while lower ranges remain discounted due to his established baseline activity. With the week concluding soon, any late surges tied to product announcements or public controversies could shift final tallies, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to Musk’s unpredictable online rhythm.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$718,691
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 32%, followed by "200-219" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" has generated $718.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is "180-199" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "200-219" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.