Elena Rybakina leads trader consensus for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner at 26% implied probability, edging Aryna Sabalenka (21.5%) and Iga Świątek (20.8%), as grass-court prowess remains fragmented post-Ash Barty's retirement. Rybakina's 2022 title, quarterfinal runs in recent editions, and big-serving game perfectly suit Wimbledon's low-bouncing lawns, bolstering her edge. Sabalenka's raw power yields strong grass results—like her 2023 semifinal—but a shoulder injury sidelined her from 2024 Wimbledon, introducing recovery risks. Świątek dominates clay and hard courts yet posts modest grass records, including a third-round exit last year, though her youth and adaptability fuel upside. With all three in their primes and no repeat champion since 2017, evolving form, injuries, and head-to-head dynamics on turf keep the top cluster tight amid broader field parity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElena Rybakina 26%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 21.1%
Coco Gauff 5%
$1,937,492 Vol.
$1,937,492 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
21%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Navarro
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Elena Rybakina 26%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 21.1%
Coco Gauff 5%
$1,937,492 Vol.
$1,937,492 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
21%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Navarro
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elena Rybakina leads trader consensus for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner at 26% implied probability, edging Aryna Sabalenka (21.5%) and Iga Świątek (20.8%), as grass-court prowess remains fragmented post-Ash Barty's retirement. Rybakina's 2022 title, quarterfinal runs in recent editions, and big-serving game perfectly suit Wimbledon's low-bouncing lawns, bolstering her edge. Sabalenka's raw power yields strong grass results—like her 2023 semifinal—but a shoulder injury sidelined her from 2024 Wimbledon, introducing recovery risks. Świątek dominates clay and hard courts yet posts modest grass records, including a third-round exit last year, though her youth and adaptability fuel upside. With all three in their primes and no repeat champion since 2017, evolving form, injuries, and head-to-head dynamics on turf keep the top cluster tight amid broader field parity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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