Jannik Sinner's overwhelming 66.5% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ranking, unmatched hard-court dominance—including the 2023 Miami title and recent Grand Slam triumphs—and clean bill of health, positioning him as the clear trader favorite for the 2026 ATP Masters 1000 event. Daniil Medvedev's 8.8% share draws from his 2019 Miami victory and consistent baseline grinding on similar surfaces, while Corentin Moutet's surprising 8.1% reflects recent upset wins and lefty flair boosting underdog buzz. Alexander Zverev (4.6%) and Americans Taylor Fritz (4.3%), Sebastian Korda (3.5%), and Tommy Paul (3.1%) gain from strong head-to-heads, home-soil momentum, and favorable draw projections amid the Sunshine Double, though two years out, form volatility tempers longshots like Jakub Mensik and Arthur Fils.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
Jannik Sinner 67%
Daniil Medvedev 8.2%
Alexander Zverev 4.6%
Taylor Fritz 4.3%
$264,188 Vol.
$264,188 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
67%
Daniil Medvedev
8%
Alexander Zverev
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Arthur Fils
4%
Sebastian Korda
3%
Tommy Paul
3%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Valentin Vacherot
1%
Terence Atmane
1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Marin Cilic
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Francisco Cerundolo
<1%
Corentin Moutet
<1%
Quentin Halys
<1%
Kamil Majchrzak
<1%
Jannik Sinner 67%
Daniil Medvedev 8.2%
Alexander Zverev 4.6%
Taylor Fritz 4.3%
$264,188 Vol.
$264,188 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
67%
Daniil Medvedev
8%
Alexander Zverev
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Arthur Fils
4%
Sebastian Korda
3%
Tommy Paul
3%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Valentin Vacherot
1%
Terence Atmane
1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Marin Cilic
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Francisco Cerundolo
<1%
Corentin Moutet
<1%
Quentin Halys
<1%
Kamil Majchrzak
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner's overwhelming 66.5% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ranking, unmatched hard-court dominance—including the 2023 Miami title and recent Grand Slam triumphs—and clean bill of health, positioning him as the clear trader favorite for the 2026 ATP Masters 1000 event. Daniil Medvedev's 8.8% share draws from his 2019 Miami victory and consistent baseline grinding on similar surfaces, while Corentin Moutet's surprising 8.1% reflects recent upset wins and lefty flair boosting underdog buzz. Alexander Zverev (4.6%) and Americans Taylor Fritz (4.3%), Sebastian Korda (3.5%), and Tommy Paul (3.1%) gain from strong head-to-heads, home-soil momentum, and favorable draw projections amid the Sunshine Double, though two years out, form volatility tempers longshots like Jakub Mensik and Arthur Fils.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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